S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 07/08

When Hype Gets Exhausting, Markets Turn to Basics…Likely this Week  In the apparent absence of the constant barrage of hype and market propping antics by various parties with vested interests – both at the geopolitical level and on the domestic monetary policy level – markets seem to be pondering about the economic basics of the (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for FRI 07/05

Results of Published Model Trades for FRI 07/05      Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month.  (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)

TODAY IN THE MARKET – FRI 07/05

Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan” will be posted around 9:00am EDT, every trading day. For the Outlook, Forecast, and Trading Plans published this morning, please click here For the Results of the morning’s Trading Plans, please click here. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Ending a 5-day winning streak, the S&P 500 index (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 07/05

Jobs Numbers, Options Expiration, Thin Liquidity  Today’s Jobs number is not supportive of imminent interest rate cuts. It being Friday, options expiration levels would also pull the market in various ways. And, most professionals may be taking a long weekend, leading to thin liquidity. Together, these factors could be making for a choppy market today.   (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for WED 07/03

Results of Published Model Trades for Wed 07/03      Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month.  (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)

TODAY IN THE MARKET – WED 07/03

Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan” will be posted around 9:00am EDT, every trading day. For the Outlook, Forecast, and Trading Plans published this morning, please click here For the Results of the morning’s Trading Plans, please click here. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) The S&P 500 index extended gains for the fifth (more…)

S&P OUTLOOK for WED 07/03

Beware of Sharks in Shallow Waters (low liquidity)  Due to the shortened trading hours for the July 4th holiday, expect thin trading in the markets. When liquidity is low, typically retail traders get whip-sawed with wild, sudden moves OR sustained moves in a direction opposite to the majority retail positioning (market makers, anyone?).  Unless you (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for TUE 07/02

Results of Published Model Trades for Tue 07/02      Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month.  (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)

TODAY IN THE MARKET – TUE 07/02

Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan” will be posted around 9:00am EDT, every trading day. For the Outlook, Forecast, and Trading Plans published this morning, please click here For the Results of the morning’s Trading Plans, please click here. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) The S&P 500 index struggled for direction as escalating (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 07/02

The Market Fireworks – Enjoy While It Lasts Barring any major, unexpected economic or geopolitical headlines, the markets are likely going to be in a holding pattern until (or, at most?) this celebratory, abbreviated week concludes.  As we wrote last Thursday, “With the interest rate cut hopes drying up, a trade war resolution is the (more…)