Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Friday, 06/07” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Friday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Building on last week’s optimism, the S&P 500 index inched closer to all-time highs on reports that the U.S. and Mexico have agreed on a deal to avoid tariffs on Mexican imports. Gains, (more…)
May Payroll Numbers Good or Bad? The disappointing NFP data released this morning may be interpreted as “Good for the markets” or “Bad for the economy” or in myriad ways depending upon one’s own objectives. While the perma-bears look at the implied economic slowdown, the perma-bulls look at the imminent Fed rate cuts. If one’s interest (more…)
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Friday, 06/07” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Friday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) The Fed-led rally extended into its third session. Struggling for direction and flirting with its 20 DMA (now at 2826.90) during the early hours, the S&P 500 index received a strong boost in (more…)
Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Thursday 06/06 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month: NOTE: The index by itself is NOT tradable. The model plans here based on the S&P index level can be used to trade (more…)
Getting Tired of the Trade War Rhetoric? Investors seem to be wishing to forget the trade war rhetoric and focus on something less chaotic, but complacency always leads to spectacular blowups (in either direction). Major indices are right in the middle of precariously stubborn support and resistance levels, but the trade war related headlines could be (more…)
Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Wednesday 06/05 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month: NOTE: The index by itself is NOT tradable. The model plans here based on the S&P index level can be used to trade (more…)
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Thursday, 06/6” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Thursday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Building on previous session’s Fed-led relief rally, the S&P 500 index extended gains to close decisively above the psychologically important 2800 level. Growing expectations that the Fed will support the economic expansion, (more…)
Bear Trap, Bull Trap, Chop Chop! When the market action is driven by pure technicals and market-propping/bashing headlines, it could be prudent to sit on the sidelines to discern some clarity. While the bull trap we cautioned about has materialized fully, the market is now right in the middle of precariously stubborn support (more…)
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Wednesday, 06/5” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Wednesday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Growing expectations that the Fed will rescue the economy from falling into recession gave the S&P 500 index a strong boost. The index rallied after the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell signaled at a (more…)
Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Tuesday 06/04 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month: NOTE: The index by itself is NOT tradable. The model plans here based on the S&P index level can be used to (more…)
