S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 07/07 The divergence between yesterday’s ADP payrolls numbers and this morning’s Non-Farm Payrolls numbers is giving the optimists on the markets dreams of the Goldilocks scenario (aka “soft landing” or “softish landing”) to unfold, while the pessimists on the markets are fretting over potential slowdown and the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 07/06 The FOMC meeting minutes released yesterday, and the ADP jobs numbers this morning, and the consistent Fed speak…all point to more interest rate hikes (albeit at a slower pace) ahead and the rising yields are showing that the bond markets are bracing for that scenario. (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 07/05 Our trading plans published on Friday, 06/30 stated: “Cover any open shorts and avoid going short – next week’s holiday-shortened week could add more spikes to the upside to hit any stops on the shorts”. Unless something significantly changes in the FOMC meeting minutes due (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/30 The choppy trading for the last week or so appears now resolved to the upside with the soft PCE numbers released this morning. This appears fueling the typical quarter-end window dressing by funds, resulting in the path of least resistance being to the upside. Cover any (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 06/28 Our models indicate choppy trading with no directional momentum until PCE release later this week. Depending on the number, it may bring inflation and interest rates back onto the market radar, with downside pressure added on the markets, which could crescendo into the FOMC meeting next (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 06/27 Our models indicate choppy trading with no directional momentum until PCE release later this week. Depending on the number, it may bring inflation and interest rates back onto the market radar, with downside pressure added on the markets, which could crescendo into the FOMC meeting (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 06/26 Our models indicate choppy trading with no directional momentum until PCE release later this week. Depending on the number, it may bring inflation and interest rates back onto the market radar, with downside pressure added on the markets. In our trading plans for Fri. 06/16, we (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/23 In our trading plans for Fri. 06/16, we wrote: “The spectacular bull run of the last few weeks fueled by speculation around the Fed policies and, possibly, an epic short squeeze, could be consolidating in the week ahead”. This has played out as anticipated with yesterday’s (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 06/21 In our trading plans for Fri. 06/16, we wrote: “The spectacular bull run of the last few weeks fueled by speculation around the Fed policies and, possibly, an epic short squeeze, could be consolidating in the week ahead”. This has played out as anticipated with yesterday’s (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/16 The spectacular bull run of the last few weeks fueled by speculation around the Fed policies and, possibly, an epic short squeeze, could be consolidating in the week ahead. Weekly options expirations could be playing another factor today. The potential bull trap cautioned about by our (more…)
