S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 01/29 Last week’s GDP numbers and the PCE numbers are further emboldening the market bull. This weeks flurry of major earnings and the FOMC meeting should set the tone for the next leg. Record high after record high, and the momentum in the economy, and the election (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 01/26 This week’s GDP numbers and the PCE numbers are further emboldening the market bull. Record high after record high, and the momentum in the economy, and the election year sentiment…all appear to be drowning out any murmurs of valuation concerns coming from some corners of the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 07/07 The divergence between yesterday’s ADP payrolls numbers and this morning’s Non-Farm Payrolls numbers is giving the optimists on the markets dreams of the Goldilocks scenario (aka “soft landing” or “softish landing”) to unfold, while the pessimists on the markets are fretting over potential slowdown and the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 07/06 The FOMC meeting minutes released yesterday, and the ADP jobs numbers this morning, and the consistent Fed speak…all point to more interest rate hikes (albeit at a slower pace) ahead and the rising yields are showing that the bond markets are bracing for that scenario. (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 07/05 Our trading plans published on Friday, 06/30 stated: “Cover any open shorts and avoid going short – next week’s holiday-shortened week could add more spikes to the upside to hit any stops on the shorts”. Unless something significantly changes in the FOMC meeting minutes due (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/30 The choppy trading for the last week or so appears now resolved to the upside with the soft PCE numbers released this morning. This appears fueling the typical quarter-end window dressing by funds, resulting in the path of least resistance being to the upside. Cover any (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 06/26 Our models indicate choppy trading with no directional momentum until PCE release later this week. Depending on the number, it may bring inflation and interest rates back onto the market radar, with downside pressure added on the markets. In our trading plans for Fri. 06/16, we (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 05/26 For today, markets seem to be having a hangover from the post-NVidia-earnings euphoria so far in the regular session, with the hotter than expected inflation numbers released this morning seemingly to have not dented the bullish sentiment. It remains to be seen if it would last (more…)
Inflation Tamed Not The Inflation numbers (PCE) this morning do not bode well, especially given the increasingly hawkish rhetoric coming out from the various Fed speakers. However, the increasingly bearish retail traders’ positioning indicates to a potential for upside spike. Thus, bears need to be patient before striking as there is a risk of retail (more…)
