Beware of Sharks in Shallow Waters (low liquidity) Due to the shortened trading hours for the July 4th holiday, expect thin trading in the markets. When liquidity is low, typically retail traders get whip-sawed with wild, sudden moves OR sustained moves in a direction opposite to the majority retail positioning (market makers, anyone?). Unless you (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for Tue 07/02 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan” will be posted around 9:00am EDT, every trading day. For the Outlook, Forecast, and Trading Plans published this morning, please click here For the Results of the morning’s Trading Plans, please click here. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) The S&P 500 index struggled for direction as escalating (more…)
The Market Fireworks – Enjoy While It Lasts Barring any major, unexpected economic or geopolitical headlines, the markets are likely going to be in a holding pattern until (or, at most?) this celebratory, abbreviated week concludes. As we wrote last Thursday, “With the interest rate cut hopes drying up, a trade war resolution is the (more…)
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan” will be posted around 9:00am EDT, every trading day. For the Outlook, Forecast, and Trading Plans published this morning, please click here For the Results of the morning’s Trading Plans, please click here. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Euphoria over the much-expected temporary trade truce between the (more…)
When Sojourning Leads to Celebrating As If Reached the Destination…STOP and THINK! Almost every major financial news media predicted the outcome of a thin-on-details “truce” on further tariffs than any substantive progress towards an agreement or a resolution to the trade war. And, yet, the overnight futures action is exuberant and indicating significant gap up (more…)
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan” will be posted around 9:00am EDT, every trading day. For the Outlook, Forecast, and Trading Plans published this morning, please click here For the Results of the morning’s Trading Plans, please click here. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) The S&P 500 extended its choppy trading within a (more…)
This Weekend’s G-20 Summit the Destination or a Soujorn for the Long, Winding Trade War? We all have seen this movie before – we are told, “we are just about to announce the trade agreement” only to realize that there was really nothing of substance to see – for months! Will this weekend’s G-20 summit (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for Thu 06/27 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan” will be posted around 9:00am EDT, every trading day. For the Outlook, Forecast, and Trading Plans published this morning, please click here For the Results of the morning’s Trading Plans, please click here. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Cautious optimism ahead of the keenly-awaited G20 Summit lifted (more…)