Our Models Taking the Profits and Going Flat Two consecutive daily closes below the 4400 level our models were monitoring, coupled with consecutive daily lows making our models close out the positional trading long opened at 4320, and booking profits of 90+ points. Yesterday’s high number of flip-flop trades by our aggressive models indicated to (more…)

First-trading-day-of-the-month Flows to Prop it Up? As our regular readers would be familiar with, our models indicate a default bias to the upside on the first trading day of every month, due to the inflows of systematic investment funds (think 401k, pension plans, and other retirement funds). Unless there is some strong negative tone to (more…)

A Small Consolidation, Until Proven Otherwise This morning’s weakness in the markets, post-Amazon earnings disappointment, is within the consolidation range and not indicating any major trouble for the index – at least not yet. A daily close below 4400 will lead to our models re-evaluating the bias. Our positional models’ longs from 4320 level are (more…)

The Fed, Interest Rates, and Inflation Today, it’s going to be all about the Fed, the interest rates outlook, and more importantly the Inflation outlook. Whiel nobody is epxecting the Fed to do or say something unexpected on the interest rates, what they say (and, don’t say) about the rising inflation (that average Joes and (more…)

Waiting for Big Tech Earnings and Fed The record highs are likely to be consolidated while the markets are waiting for the big tech earnings and the Fed to set the mood for the next leg. Our models indicate no directional action until the Fed is out tomorrow after noon. Our positional models’ longs from (more…)