S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 08/22

Court Verdict, Guilty Plea and Implication, Raucous Rally, Fed Minutes…Enough to Spook the Markets? Our forecast of imminent new record highs has come true on Day 2 – yesterday – with the S&P 500 Index registering a new high of 2873.23. But, with the domestic political temperatures weathering(?), what otherwise could be a tsunami, with (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 08/21

Imminent New Record Highs – Day 2? With no major economic releases scheduled barring this Wednesday’s release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes and Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Friday’s Jackson Hole Syposium, the major driver of the news headlines continue to be the US-China trade talks this week. S&P 500 Index seems poised to take (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 08/20

Imminent New Record Highs? With no major economic releases scheduled barring this Wednesday’s release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes and Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Friday’s Jackson Hole Syposium, the major driver of the news headlines is going to be the US-China trade talks this week. S&P 500 Index seems poised to take advantage of (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 08/17

Race to New Highs or YoYo Day-3? The overnight S&P 500 Index e-mini futures market is not doing much, other than showing some “profit taking” (?) on yesterday’s strong move. No major news headlines seem to be swirling the markets (at least, not yet, as of 8:30am EDT). No major economic releases scheduled other than (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 08/16

Is the Retail Money Chasing the YoYo Up-and-Down and Getting Whipsawed? In the overnight S&P 500 Index futures market, the geopolitical events involving Turkey’s Lira seems to have faded into the background, the US-China trade war seems to see some “truce” potential (can you count how many times you have read this in the news (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 08/15

The Smart Money Playing YoYo With the Markets? The geopolitical events involving Turkey’s Lira does not seem to be a big concern for the global economy or financial markets – at least, not yet, as we forecast with our clear words:“However, do NOT write it off and do NOT short the index unless key support (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 08/14

With No Catalysts in Sight, Market Likely Stuck and Not Going Anywhere Fast? The geopolitical events involving Turkey’s Lira does not seem to be a big concern for the global economy or financial markets – at least, not yet, as we forecast with our clear words:“However, do NOT write it off and do NOT short (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 08/13

Day 4 of Geopolitical Events and Currency Markets? Don’t Jump the Gun…Especially if Shorting! In our forecast for Friday, 08/10, we wrote regarding the Turkey’s currency crisis: “How well and how fast this crisis is contained (fully or limited to just Turkey) is going to be the main factor that would determine the probability of (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 08/10

Day 6: The Main Story Driving The US Equity Markets this Morning – Geopolitical Events and Currency Markets! In our forecast for yesterday, Thursday, we wrote: “The only thing that can thwart this journey to another all-time high is potential geopolitical news which may prove highly negative for the markets. Barring any such developments, the (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 08/09

Day 5: The Slow Grind Taking The Market to New Highs? This Week to Reveal!  The market is within striking distance from the all-time highs recorded in January this year. Yesterday’s market action – where the S&P 500 Index essentially closed flat – is interpreted by our models just as an inevitable consolidation rather than (more…)