It’s China, Again, Today (and, likely again and again)! Our medium-term models continued the winning streak on Friday by booking 9.70 S&P 500 index points in profits, and our aggressive intraday models booked 11.70 points in profits, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as published in our trading plan (more…)
It’s Non-Farm Payrolls Friday! Add Fed speeches, US-China Trade Talk Headlines – Wild Moves Ahead! Our medium-term models continued the winning streak yesterday by booking 47.53 S&P 500 index points in profits, and our aggressive intraday models booked 33.50 points in profits, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as (more…)
Apple, Soured In China! Our medium-term models rang the 2019 trading year by booking 13.75 S&P 500 index points in profits, and our aggressive intraday models booked 14.75 points in profits, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as published in our trading plan before the markets opened. We wrote (more…)
The Bear Feeding on China’s Economy (hurt by U.S. tariffs) and Getting Stronger Our models (both the medium-term as well as the aggressive intraday models) closed the year 2018 by booking +112 points in profits on the last day, Monday 12/31, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as published (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 12/31
Market Volatility to Continue Into the New Year As pointed to in our Friday’s forecast: the year-end window dressing, tax-loss harvesting, dollar cost averaging, and fresh month/year systematic investing flows…there are many structural twists and turns that are going to make the markets continue the roller coaster ride into the next couple of weeks. (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 12/28
If Your Stomach Churns, You Should Avoid Rollercoaster Rides! As pointed to in our yesterday’s forecast, our models indicated a broad range of 2350-2485 as the trading range to monitor. The S&P 500 Index closed just under four points above the upper bound of this range in a wild spike up in the last (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 12/27
Do You Call a 0.28 Point Gain A Santa “Rally”?! Check the numbers before you believe the (expected) hype/emotion that yesterday’s historic intraday rally instigated all around about the “Santa rally” coming to the markets albeit a bit late! The S&P 500 Index closed at 2467.42 exactly one week back – last Thursday, 12/20. (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 12/26
Will the Story of 2019 be called “The Grinch Who Stole the New Year”? The Grinch who stole the 2018 Christmas is likely to keep dancing his way into the New Year. Our Models indicate NOT to trust the deadcat bounces likely to appear on the markets over the next few sessions remaining in 2018. (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 12/24
Friday’s Close Points to the Grinch! The index closed below the key 2440 level on Friday (12/21), crushing the last hopes some held for the Santa to show up in the markets. All indications are that the Grinch is dancing all over the market this holiday season. Today being a half day, expect stop-loss related (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 12/21
Dead Cat Bounce or An Interim Low Set Yesterday? Today’s Close Might Hold Clues! While indicating potential spike up today for some respite from the last two days of beating, our models continue to caution that any moves up could be potential bull traps while the index is below 2535. The index has to register (more…)