Back to Basics Day? It’s About Time! Consumer Price Index and Hourly Wages releases this morning, and increasing talk about earnings (shortfall) likely to make the markets focus on the “financial” aspects of the financial markets today. The weekly options expiration would add its own push-and-pull around key levels today, resulting in sudden spikes in (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 01/10
It is Still About China and Fed Today With the US-China trade talks ending yesterday and the markets awaiting details of any “outcomes”, and with Fed chair Powell slated to participate in a Q&A session this afternoon, the main movers of the markets today are still China and Powell. Beyond these factors, markets might soon (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 01/09
The Fed Meeting Minutes and China With Fed Meeting minutes scheduled to be released at 2pm EST, the markets have two main levers today that may be pulled either way, depending on the dominant side (bullish/bearish). Beyond the spin, market strategists would be closely watching the Fed minutes for re-inforcing/re-interpreting the tone of Powell’s speech (more…)
China, the spin, Continues… Our medium-term models continued the winning streak on Monday by booking 18.00 S&P 500 index points in profits, and our aggressive intraday models booked 23.00 points in profits, simply by mechanically trading the pre-defined entry and exit points as published in our trading plans before the markets open. This marks four (more…)
It’s China, Again, Today (and, likely again and again)! Our medium-term models continued the winning streak on Friday by booking 9.70 S&P 500 index points in profits, and our aggressive intraday models booked 11.70 points in profits, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as published in our trading plan (more…)
It’s Non-Farm Payrolls Friday! Add Fed speeches, US-China Trade Talk Headlines – Wild Moves Ahead! Our medium-term models continued the winning streak yesterday by booking 47.53 S&P 500 index points in profits, and our aggressive intraday models booked 33.50 points in profits, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as (more…)
Apple, Soured In China! Our medium-term models rang the 2019 trading year by booking 13.75 S&P 500 index points in profits, and our aggressive intraday models booked 14.75 points in profits, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as published in our trading plan before the markets opened. We wrote (more…)
The Bear Feeding on China’s Economy (hurt by U.S. tariffs) and Getting Stronger Our models (both the medium-term as well as the aggressive intraday models) closed the year 2018 by booking +112 points in profits on the last day, Monday 12/31, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as published (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 12/31
Market Volatility to Continue Into the New Year As pointed to in our Friday’s forecast: the year-end window dressing, tax-loss harvesting, dollar cost averaging, and fresh month/year systematic investing flows…there are many structural twists and turns that are going to make the markets continue the roller coaster ride into the next couple of weeks. (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 12/28
If Your Stomach Churns, You Should Avoid Rollercoaster Rides! As pointed to in our yesterday’s forecast, our models indicated a broad range of 2350-2485 as the trading range to monitor. The S&P 500 Index closed just under four points above the upper bound of this range in a wild spike up in the last (more…)