The Emboldened Bear Is Out in the Open In our trading plan – published on Wed, 01/12 – we wrote: “Notwithstanding the ensuing rally, that caution (“no bottom-fishing yet”) is still warranted. A forty-year record high inflation is no news to cheer even if it is in-line with expectations. Investors relatively new to the markets (more…)
The Big Bears Slowly Getting Emboldened In our last trading plan – published on Wed, 01/12 – we wrote: “Notwithstanding the ensuing rally, that caution (“no bottom-fishing yet”) is still warranted. A forty-year record high inflation is no news to cheer even if it is in-line with expectations. Investors relatively new to the markets need (more…)
Relief (“The Sky’s Not Falling”) Rally or Bull Trap? In our last trading plan – published on Fri, 01/07 – we wrote: “Bottom-fishers looking for stock market bargains need to be cautious about a potential bull-trap today. Bad news is NOT always good news – not in this market”. Notwithstanding the ensuing rally, that caution (more…)
NFP Disappointment to Embolden Bottom-fishers? Bottom-fishers looking for stock market bargains need to be cautious about a potential bull-trap today. Bad news is NOT always good news – not in this market. Our early 2022 trading plan – published on Tue, 01/04 – stated: “The artificial, illiquid moves could now be coming to an end (more…)
The Unstoppable Bull is Exhausted Our first 2022 trading plan – published on Tue, 01/04 – stated: “The artificial, illiquid moves could now be coming to an end and the true mood of the investors is likely to set onto the markets soon”. This followed our last trading plan of 2021 – published on Thu, (more…)
Scaling New Highs Coming to a Pause Soon? In our last daily trading plans published on 12/23, we wrote: “While investors could be well advised to trim their holdings on rallies induced by these effects, bearish traders might need to wait these tides out to strike. A break of the all-time high appears likely within (more…)
Santa Rally, Year-end Rally, January Effect… Despite the sense of the logic of not holding risky assets with high valuations going into the imminent Fed hikes, it is NOT enough rationale to go shorting this market. Bears have many head winds for the next few weeks – the Santa Rally, then the year-end rally, then (more…)
Recovery Attempts to Hold? Notwithstanding any artificial “Santa-rally or Year-end rally” in the offing, we re-iterate – for the next few weeks – what we wrote in our trading plans for Friday, 12/17: “The Fed-induced bubbles in the asset markets are showing signs of deflating swiftly (if not bursting, yet). There are very little – (more…)
Our Short from Friday Working Well and Re-iterated Our positional models’ short from the trading plans published Friday, 12/17, morning is doing exceedingly well. We titled our trading plans for Monday, 12/06, with “Get Ready for the Tightening Ahead”, and we held off from much trading since then until after the FOMC release this week. (more…)
The Fed Punchbowl is Taken Away – Party Over! We titled our trading plans for Monday, 12/06, with “Get Ready for the Tightening Ahead”, and we held off from much trading since then until after the FOMC release this week. Our models continue that theme of risk-off. The Fed-induced bubbles in the asset markets are (more…)
