Standing Their Ground In our trading plans published on Wed, 06/30, we wrote: “Our models are looking for a sustained daily close above 4310 on Tue, 07/06 (after the long weekend) to open any new longs”. Yesterday morning’s weakness evaporated eventually, based on the hopes that Fed is under control still. For positional trading: Our (more…)
Bulls Tiring Out? In our trading plans published on Wed, 06/30, we wrote: “Our models are looking for a sustained daily close above 4310 on Tue, 07/06 (after the long weekend) to open any new longs”. This key level is under attack in the pre-market session this morning. A close below 4300 today could spell (more…)
Resting Period? The 4310 mentioned in our last trading plan has been comfortably breached and the bulls are enjoying a comfortable ride up over the quarter end and the July 4th related thin trading. Now that full liquidity is likely coming back, there could be some consolidation ahead before a short term directional leg unfolds. (more…)
Quarter-end Window Dressing? In our trading plans yesterday, Tue 06/29, we wrote: “The index made a new record intraday high at 4300.7 and it looks like it could be the high for the session, and if not taken out tomorrow then it could be the high for some time to come. Holiday related thin trading (more…)
Interim High In? The index made a new record intraday high at 4300.7 and it looks like it could be the high for the session, and if not taken out tomorrow then it could be the high for some time to come. Holiday related thin trading in the coming days could test it in a (more…)
Melting Up In our trading plan for Tuesday, 06/22, we wrote: “After a big move on both Friday and Monday, the index is essentially where it was mid last week! 4250-4215 remains the key range to break out of”. The index is testing the top of this range today and the price action around the (more…)
Choppy, Range-bound Trading The flip-flop on inflation concerns from the Fed induced some relief rally yesterday, but the price action in S&P 500 index is anything but directional as of this morning. After a big move on both Friday and Monday, the index is essentially where it was mid last week! 4250-4215 remains the key (more…)
Triple Witching Day Volatility! The inflation and Fed-inflation-fighting-capability concern coupled with the Triple Witching day today should make a perfect recipe for volatility! Today is not a day to engage in positional trading. Nor is it a good day to engage in knee-jerk trading as there can be a lot of whipsaw action. For positional (more…)
Markets Attempting to Look Past Inflation After the rather concerning admission from the Fed that they underestimated how hot the inflation could be running – albeit Powell’s attempt to paint it as still of not much concern – markets are mixed with Dow showing weakness while Nasdaq lifting up, with S&P 500 seemingly still trying (more…)
Markets in the Fed-wait Mode After posting yet another record high, the S&P 500 index is taking a breather, waiting (hoping?) for the Fed to throw something tomorrow to put some fire under it. Lack of that fire could slowly melt the index down. We might know tomorrow by 2:30/2:45pm which way it will play (more…)
