Child’s Play of Record Highs? The earnings season in its early days seems to be kicking in yet another leg higher with record highs being registered in overnight futures markets. If 3300 is sustainably broken above, then we are looking at 3334 as a potential target. As we have been reiterating explicitly for the last (more…)
Earnings Triggered Inflection Point? The unusually high number of trades by both of our models indicate to a hard battle at the current levels and a potential inflection point forming, which could pivot the next leg of the market move in either direction. With the geopolitical tensions fading away, and the watered down “trade war” (more…)
Back to Basics Anytime Soon? With the geopolitical tensions fading away, and the watered down “trade war” (“Phase-1” anyone?) truce/deal playing the headlines ad nauseam, markets might be tempted to focus on some fundamental economic factors for a change, some time soon. The just-kicking-in earnings season could just be the pivot needed. The next leg (more…)
Markets Getting Tightly Wound Up? Markets are getting tightly wound up in the wake of the much hyped geopolitical tensions from last week. While the tensions may not be declared gone, they surely are not at a level to impact the markets adversely. This, coupled with the retail positioning, could be tightly winding the markets (more…)
Record Highs and Large Options Positioning Typically Blows Off the Complacent Our words from yesterday morning still apply to today’s morning: “If you are opening short trades, make sure you have enough equity to sustain long draw downs – if you may be proven right but long after you go bust, it won’t be of (more…)
Lack of Potential Economic Bust does NOT Equal to an Economic Boost! De-escalation of potential geopolitical nightmares may be explained as driving the markets from crashing, but it can not really be explained for markets to make new highs! That is what is perplexing most market players in the wake of new market highs being (more…)
Fools Rush in Where Angels Fear to Tread The Iranian attacks on US bases in Iraq last evening lead the futures markets to nose dive with the S&P 500 futures dropping to below 3200 – only to spring right back up as soon as it became a bit clear that a bit cautious and prudent (more…)
Geopolitical Headlines Not too Strong to Drive any Directional Moves, Yet On the lines of our caution to the bears to not jump the gun, the market action on Monday was anything but panicky, and could have trapped some bears. Nevertheless, this should NOT make the bulls beat their chests yet. The geopolitical fallout from (more…)
Key Inflection Points to be Tested this Week Friday’s US airstrikes killing the Iranian military general could be setting off an avalanche of geopolitical tensions, and triggering a potential bull trap in the markets. The chances for these tensions to escalate are higher than not, and it could add to the technical risks the markets (more…)
Geopolitical Tensions Back on the Radar – Setting up a Bull Trap or Just a Blip? The overnight US airstrikes killing the Iranian military general could be setting off an avalanche of geopolitical tensions, and triggering a potential bull trap in the markets. The chances for these tensions to escalate are higher than not, and (more…)
