Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Friday 04/05

Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month:

NOTE: The index by itself is NOT tradable. The model plans here based on the  S&P index level can be used to trade any instrument that tracks the index – the futures on the index (ES, ES-mini), the options on the futures (ES options), the SPX options, the ETF SPY are just a few examples of the instruments one can adapt these plans to.

These plans and results are hypothetical and NOT an investment advice to buy or sell any specific securities but are intended to aid – as informational, educational, and research tools – in arriving at your own investment/trading decisions. Please read the full disclosures at the bottom of this article for additional notes and disclaimers.

Trading Plans/Forecast Published Friday Morning – Medium-term Models

“For today, Friday 04/05, our medium-term models indicate trading off of a broadened range to account for any potential spike in volatility surrounding the China trade talks. Would go long on a break above 2892 with a 10-point trailing stop, and go short on a break below 2863 with a 10-point trailing stop and a 14-point profit target.”

Trading Plan Results/Outcome

Fri 04/05:  One long position opened at 2892 carried into next session with a 10-point trailing stop anchored at 2882.44.

The index broke above the 2892 level at 11:15am ET, triggering a long position with a 10-point trailing stop. The index reached an interim high at 2892.44, lifting the stop trigger to 2882.44. The position stayed open into the session close and is being carried to Monday’s session.

Past results this month – medium term (high frequency) models (hypothetical trades based on the trading plans published before markets open daily):   


Trading Plans/Forecast Published Friday Morning – Aggressive Intraday Models

“For today, Friday 04/05, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 2890 with an 8-point trailing stop. Models also indicate going short on a break below 2870 with an 8-point trailing stop.”

Trading Plan Results/Outcome:

Fri 04/05: Booked -0.51 index point in loss on one long

The index broke above the 2890 level around 10:00am ET, triggering a long position with an 8-point trailing stop. The position was closed at 2890.51 at 3:55pm as per the “intraday” mandate, registering a loss of -0.51 index point.

Past results this month – aggressive intraday models (hypothetical trades based on the trading plans published before markets open daily):

NOTE: Remember that a “trailing stop” works differently from the traditional stop-loss order. Please bear in mind that the trailing stop’s trigger level would keep changing throughout the session (click here to read on the conceptual workings of a trailing-stop).

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURES AND NOTICES – READ CAREFULLY:

(i) This and other articles in the blog contain personal opinions of the author and is NOT representative of any organization(s) he may be affiliated with. This article is solely intended for informational and educational purposes only. It is NOT any specific advice or recommendation or solicitation to purchase or sell or cause any transaction in any specific investment instruments at any specific price levels, but it is a generic analysis of the instruments mentioned.

(ii) Do NOT make your financial investment or trading decisions based on this article; anyone doing so shall do so solely at their own risk. The author will NOT be responsible for any losses or loss of potential gains arising from any investments/trades made based on the opinions, forecasts or other information contained in this article.

(iii) Risk Warning: Investing, trading in S&P 500 Index – spot, futures, or options or in any other synthetic form – or its component stocks carries inherent risk of loss. Trading in leveraged instruments such as futures carries much higher risk of significant losses and you may lose more than you invested in them. Carefully consider your individual financial situation and investment objectives before investing in any financial instruments. If you are not a professional trader, consult a professional investment advisor before making your investment decisions.

(iv) Past performance: This article may contain references to past performance of hypothetical trades or past forecasts, which should NOT be taken as any representation or promise or guarantee of potential future profits. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

(v) The author makes no representations whatsoever and assumes no responsibility as to the suitability, accuracy, completeness or validity of the information or the forecasts provided.

(vi) All opinions expressed herein are subject to change at any time, without any notice to anyone