Next Support Level Being Tested The key support level identified in our trading plans published on Wed., 12/07 – and, reiterated on Thu., 12/15 – at 3900-3910 has been decisively broken down, and the index is now testing the next key support level around the 3825-3835 range. Our models are indicating a range-bound trading while (more…)
Bull Trap from Last Week Re-testing Key Support In our last trading plans published on Wed., 12/07, we wrote: “Last two sessions turned the recent spike up into a bull trap. However, our models are indicating that the index is likely to find some support around the 3910-3915 range. Longs might want to wait to (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turned Into a Bull Trap; Approaching Support In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could be (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? Day 3 In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? Day 2 In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could be suggesting that it could potentially be an “irrational exuberance”, and the futures’ (more…)
Fed Pivot, Short Squeeze, or Bull Trap? Day 19 Based on the overnight futures markets’ moves by 9:25am on Thursday, 11/10, we published our trading plans that stated: “Our models indicate not chasing this market to the long side, and not staying short either. Hence, we will be sitting out the market today”. Our models (more…)
Yet Another Bull Trap Called! While the TV talking heads were all telling you to buy into the post-Fed rally, we published our trading plans last Thursday morning with CAUTION as the theme. The index gave up more than 200 points (around 5%) since then, and our models escaped the rout unscathed! We thank our (more…)
When Bad News is Celebrated ‘Cause It’s Not Worse Notwithstanding the FOMC’s initiation of aggressive tightening with yesterday’s 50 basis points hike in interest rates, markets seemed to have celebrated that the committee was not considering a 75 basis points hike. That steep rise in markets seem to be dissipating in the first hour of (more…)
Markets Trying to Second Guess the Fed’s Resolve? With the 10-year yields easing off of the highs reached yesterday, the stock indexes seem to be rallying – based on the morning’s price action. Considering that the Fed is just going to get started their aggressive tightening from tomorrow’s FOMC decision, this “rally” seems to be (more…)
