The Bear is Officially In! With the Dow officially entering the bear market yesterday, it’s no wonder the other indices joined it with the overnight futures down big…hitting the rare “limit down”. The 11 year bull market is now officially dead, and for most investors/traders this is a new territory to navigate. Unless some unexpected...
Be Careful with Bull Traps and Bear Traps! Yesterday’s headlines-driven (“fiscal stimulus to the rescue”) rally fizzled out in the overnight futures market. It may be another wild day, with wild spikes in both directions…trapping under capitalized traders into deep draw downs and stop losses. Unless you are a professional trader with well capitalized accounts,...
Coronavirus, Oil Price, Plummeting Yields, Economic Stimulus Promise…Chop Chop… (trading plans effective from 9:45am ET) It is not a given that economic stimulus can help with the demand side shocks to the economy nor with a health crisis/pandemic. Retail traders need to be very cautious in getting sucked into the mini-rallies that can only prove...
Oil Price-war Joins Coronavirus in Chopping The Markets! Our last trading plan published Friday morning said: “Since turning bearish on Friday’s (02/21) close, our models called for a test of the 2850-2880 level which was already tested and then meaningfully bounced back. These lows could be open for testing again today or on Monday!”. As...
Bear Trap Yesterday or Bull Trap Today? Our models’ indication of the critical range of 3340-3380 – reiterated for the last many days – was tested on Thursday with the session low coming close at 3341.02, followed by a clear break down on Friday, 02/21, with the session low coming in at 3328.45! And, as (more…)
Coronavirus Moving from an Epidemic to a Pandemic Status?! Our models’ indication of the critical range of 3340-3380 – reiterated for the last many days – was tested on Thursday with the session low coming close at 3341.02, followed by a clear break down on Friday, 02/21, with the session low coming in at 3328.45! (more…)
Trading Range, Intact! Our models’ indication of the critical range of 3340-3380 – reiterated for the last many days – is still in play, despite the confusing and inexplicable sudden drop in the markets yesterday. Some astute readers have noted that the session low at 3341.02 has come just about one point from our range (more…)
No Traction for Bulls, Yet Despite the close of 3386.15 for the S&P 500 Index yesterday, our models’ indication of the critical range of 3340-3380 is still in play. There appears to be headline fatigue setting in regarding the news around the economy, earnings, and the coronavirus – until something unexpected pops up. Our models (more…)
Critical Range: Imminent Breakout? The critical range of 3340-3380 is still in play, but is likely to be broken out of very soon. Despite no improvement in the coronavirus headlines, markets seem to be taking no bad news as good news and trying to break out to the upside in the overnight futures. Models are (more…)
Critical Range: Break-out or Fall-in? From our Friday’s trading plans: “Yesterday, S&P 500 Index closed at 3374, but the price action left our models still in the indeterminate state as they are looking for a close above 3380 today to confirm the recent break out”. Some readers reached out with incredulity that the index actually (more…)
