Does Something Not Seem Right with this Bull? When markets are making new highs on old news, and when the Fed is dovish when the financial markets are at historic highs and the unemployment at historic lows – if you “feel” something does not add up, you are not being irrational but you may not (more…)
It’s All About the Monetary Policy Today! The S&P 500 futures are up with the release of Powell’s prepared testimony, and seem to be celebrating a potential confirmation that the fed would be cutting the rates in its July meeting – which was being already factored in with a 100% probability in the derivatives markets! (more…)
When Hype Gets Exhausting, Markets Turn to Basics…Likely this Week In the apparent absence of the constant barrage of hype and market propping antics by various parties with vested interests – both at the geopolitical level and on the domestic monetary policy level – markets seem to be pondering about the economic basics of the (more…)
When Sojourning Leads to Celebrating As If Reached the Destination…STOP and THINK! Almost every major financial news media predicted the outcome of a thin-on-details “truce” on further tariffs than any substantive progress towards an agreement or a resolution to the trade war. And, yet, the overnight futures action is exuberant and indicating significant gap up (more…)
Powell’s Diffidence-turned-Dissidence to Torpedo Markets Buoyed by Rate-cut Hope/Hype? Chairman Powell’s remarks cautionary words about not succumbing to “short term political pressures” should – and did – sound alarm bells for the markets buoyed mainly by hope/hype about imminent interest rate cuts starting in as early as July. Can the markets sustain Powell’s dashing (more…)
Markets to Look at Consumer Confidence and Powell’s Diffidence for Direction Last week’s record highs in the markets were driven by the Fed’s stand on standing pat on the interest rates. Today’s consumer confidence numbers could throw some light onto their rationale. And, Chairman Powell’s remarks later today (at 1pm ET) could be what the (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for Mon 06/24 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Thursday’s Raging Bull Essentially Stood its Ground on Friday! Can it Continue to Hold its Territory? Last Thursday’s all time high in the S&P 500 Index was accompanied by the month’s second highest volume, shooting down concerns of weak volumes. And, it was followed by an essentially sustained highs with Friday’s significantly high volume (more…)
