S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 04/25 Big Tech earnings, Case Schiller Home Price Indices, Consumer Confidence, New Home Sales, Fed Manufacturing Index, and First Republic Bank’s ongoing turmoil…there is a lot the markets are trying to parse, process, and digest this morning. When there is more than what you can digest, the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 04/24 Despite the initial downward momentum post-PMI release last week, markets still seem stuck in the tug-of-war between the “Inflation peaked” optimism and the “recession onset” concerns, and the earnings season so far has failed to give either the bulls or the bears any real traction. The (more…)
Consolidation Ahead? Day 6 Unless the index closes above 4120 today, our models indicate continued choppy trading until some unexpectedly positive macro development shows up. If the index closes above 4120 today, then we expect the choppy consolidation to be complete and a probable onset of another bullish leg, pending further confirmation. Positional Trading Models: (more…)
Consolidation Ahead? Day 5 On the fourth day since we first published “the surge from post-FOMC last week could be consolidating a bit in the near term, unless some unexpectedly bullish macro developments take place”, the index has clearly confirmed that its bullish momentum has dissipated, and our positional models have turned bearish with a (more…)
Consolidation Ahead? Day 4 The surge from post-FOMC last week could be consolidating a bit in the near term, unless some unexpectedly bullish macro developments take place. The risk is still for an upside spike than for a downside draft while the index is above 4100 on a daily close basis. Positional Trading Models: Our (more…)
Consolidation Ahead? Day 3 The surge from post-FOMC last week could be consolidating a bit in the near term, unless some unexpectedly bullish macro developments take place. If you are long, could be time to take some money off the table, and if you are short/wanting to go short then you might want to dip (more…)
Consolidation Ahead? Day 2 The surge from post-FOMC last week could be consolidating a bit in the near term, unless some unexpectedly bullish macro developments take place. If you are long, could be time to take some money off the table, and if you are short/wanting to go short then you might want to dip (more…)
Consolidation Ahead? The surge after the FOMC Wednesday and the NFP Friday last week could be consolidating a bit in the near term, unless some unexpectedly bullish macro developments take place. If you are long, could be time to take some money off the table, and if you are short/wanting to go short then you (more…)
Soft Landing, Big Tech Earnings…Goldilocks Dreams? The surge after the rather dovish Powell in the post-FOMC press conference, followed by the earnings from Meta…feeding the bullish spike in the markets, with investors potentially getting drunk on the dreams of Goldilocks scenario going forward. Until something harsh wakes them up to a different reality, this could (more…)
The FOMC Decision Day! No surprises in the rate decision just crossing the wires. Of course, the devil would be in the details, to be garnered from the press conference starting at 2:30pm. Nevertheless, our models are already indicating potential trading levels as below. Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are flat for now. Models (more…)
