Trading Plans for FRI. 06/30: Soft PCE Adding to the Window Dressing Push Up

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/30 The choppy trading for the last week or so appears now resolved to the upside with the soft PCE numbers released this morning. This appears fueling the typical quarter-end window dressing by funds, resulting in the path of least resistance being to the upside. Cover any (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 06/28: Markets Awaiting the PCE and FOMC – Day 3

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 06/28 Our models indicate choppy trading with no directional momentum until PCE release later this week. Depending on the number, it may bring inflation and interest rates back onto the market radar, with downside pressure added on the markets, which could crescendo into the FOMC meeting next (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 06/27: Markets Awaiting the PCE and FOMC – Day 2

  S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 06/27 Our models indicate choppy trading with no directional momentum until PCE release later this week. Depending on the number, it may bring inflation and interest rates back onto the market radar, with downside pressure added on the markets, which could crescendo into the FOMC meeting (more…)

Trading Plans for MON. 06/26: No Real Directional Momentum Until PCE Release This Week

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 06/26 Our models indicate choppy trading with no directional momentum until PCE release later this week. Depending on the number, it may bring inflation and interest rates back onto the market radar, with downside pressure added on the markets. In our trading plans for Fri. 06/16, we (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 06/23: Bull Run Consolidation, Continued

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/23 In our trading plans for Fri. 06/16, we wrote: “The spectacular bull run of the last few weeks fueled by speculation around the Fed policies and, possibly, an epic short squeeze, could be consolidating in the week ahead”. This has played out as anticipated with yesterday’s (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 06/21: Powell Trying to Tame the Runaway Bull?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 06/21 In our trading plans for Fri. 06/16, we wrote: “The spectacular bull run of the last few weeks fueled by speculation around the Fed policies and, possibly, an epic short squeeze, could be consolidating in the week ahead”. This has played out as anticipated with yesterday’s (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 06/16: Bull Consolidation Ahead of the Holiday-shortened Next Week

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/16 The spectacular bull run of the last few weeks fueled by speculation around the Fed policies and, possibly, an epic short squeeze, could be consolidating in the week ahead. Weekly options expirations could be playing another factor today. The potential bull trap cautioned about by our (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 06/15: Markets Calling the “Hawkish” Bluff of Powell?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 06/15 The potential bull trap cautioned about by our models continues to be in play, while the markets seem to be calling the bluff of Powell’s hawkish posturing in yesterday’s “hawkish pause” presser. Nevertheless, bears should be cautious of not jumping the gun but wait for confirmation (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 06/14: FOMC Decision – Hawkish Pause! Back to the Basics?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 06/14 Our trading plans published yesterday mentioned: “…our models are flashing potential for a bull trap ahead, possibly once the “fed pause” becomes official tomorrow”. Today’s FOMC decision is a “hawkish pause”, giving an open case to be made for both the bulls and the bears, as (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 06/13: Celebrating the Lowest High Inflation Numbers?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 06/13 With the post-CPI spike and the subsequent early session market action, our models are flashing potential for a bull trap ahead, possibly once the “fed pause” becomes official tomorrow. As we first stated to start this week, if you are a bull, it may be prudent (more…)