Trading Plans for THU. 3/14/24 – Markets Continue to Ignore the Stickier Inflation?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 3/14/24 This morning’s PPI numbers came in much hotter than expected, but the futures markets so far have been ignoring it and indicate positive opening to the session. It remains to be seen how the price action develops into the session later. While the sticky inflation numbers (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 3/13/24 – Don’t Count This Precarious Rally Out, Yet (Day 4)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 3/13/24 As we have been publishing for the last few days: “Bears need to be patient and not jump the gun, as any hasty shorts could prove to be choking in another bear trap”. Last Friday’s NFP numbers showed that Powell’s unexpected dovish tone on Thursday could (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 3/12/24 – Don’t Count This Precarious Rally Out, Yet (Day 3)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 3/12/24 As we have been publishing for the last few days: “Bears need to be patient and not jump the gun, as any hasty shorts could prove to be choking in another bear trap”. Last Friday’s NFP numbers showed that Powell’s unexpected dovish tone on Thursday could (more…)

Trading Plans for MON. 3/11/24 – Don’t Count This Precarious Rally Out, Yet (Day 2)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 3/11/24 As we have been publishing for the last few days: “Bears need to be patient and not jump the gun, as any hasty shorts could prove to be choking in another bear trap”. Last Friday’s NFP numbers showed that Powell’s unexpected dovish tone on Thursday could (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 3/8/24 – Mixed NFP Numbers Raising Hopes for Rate Cuts?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 3/8/24 As we have been publishing for the last few days: “Bears need to be patient and not jump the gun, as any hasty shorts could prove to be choking in another bear trap”. This morning’s NFP numbers show that Powell’s unexpected dovish tone yesterday could be (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 3/6/24 – Choppy Consolidation? (Day 3)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 3/6/24 The Nvidia/A.I./softlanding exuberance has the index continuing to print new all-time highs. This is an uncharted territory for the markets, and our models are turning a bit cautious albeit nowhere close to adapting a bearish bias as long as the index is above 5045 on a (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 3/5/24 – Choppy Consolidation? (Day 2)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 3/5/24 The Nvidia/A.I./softlanding exuberance has the index continuing to print new all-time highs. This is an uncharted territory for the markets, and our models are turning a bit cautious albeit nowhere close to adapting a bearish bias as long as the index is above 5045 on a (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 3/1/24 – Choppy Consolidation ?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 3/1/24 Yesterday morning’s PCE – the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge – came at street consensus and it is pushing the markets higher at the open. Is this a sigh of relief or a potential new dose of exuberance? We need a few more days to know the (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 2/29/24 – When Meeting Estimates is Celebrated…

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 2/29/24 This morning’s PCE – the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge – came at street consensus and it is pushing the markets higher at the open. Is this a sigh of relief or a potential new dose of exuberance? We need a few more days to know the (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 2/28/24 – Market Exuberance, Rational or Not (Day 5)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 2/28/24 The markets appeared drunk and exuberant about NVidia’s blowout earnings, and whatever else it may be, and now looks like it is in a hangover mood. Whether Greenspan would label it “Irrational Exuberance” is probably something some market observers might be wondering about. As per our (more…)