Fed Pivot Hope Turned Into a Bull Trap; Approaching Support In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could be (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? Day 3 In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? Day 2 In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could (more…)
Fed Pivot, Short Squeeze, or Bull Trap? Day 10 Based on the overnight futures markets’ moves by 9:25am on Thursday, 11/10, we published our last trading plans that stated: “Our models indicate not chasing this market to the long side, and not staying short either. Hence, we will be sitting out the market today”. Our (more…)
Our Key Level is Again in Play On this FOMC Day After breaking through the 3793 level we published for the last few days, the index is now rushing to test the 3855 level our models have been talking about multiple times in the last few weeks. This is the “20% down from the last (more…)
The ISM Release to Set the Market Tone Next? As we stated in our trading plans yesterday morning: “the index is now testing a key range of 3765-3793”. This range was breached yesterday but the index climbed back up close, and is testing the upper limit approaching the session open. The ISM release at 10:00am (more…)
NFP and ISM to Jolt the Markets Out of the “Stuck” Range? Non-Farm Payrolls and the ISM Manufacturing data releases this morning could potentially blast the markets out of the range (3010-3050) they have been stuck in for a while now. The weekly options expiration could throw a wrench into that, though, with artificial spikes (more…)
The Market Bear is Dancing… This morning’s initial jobless claims are a tad higher than expected, but not too out of the line. The Non-Manufacturing ISM numbers to come out at 10:00 am EST to help add more color to the ISM Manufacturing number mayhem. And, tomorrow’s NFP numbers likely to seal the deal on (more…)
