Strong Jobs Numbers or Trade War Tariffs? In a normal world, the strong jobs numbers would actually make any rate cut expectations ludicrous; but, as we all know, there is nothing normal about our world as far as “political leadership” is concerned. Hence, there can be another factor – aka “the (self inflicted) Trade War (more…)
Fed Chair or the Politicians – Whose Wishes and Actions on Monetary Policy are Driven by Public Interest? With the increasing politicization of the monetary policy, investors are now burdened with another monstrous task – besides investment analyses – which is to read between the lines of the powerful people’s statements and actions about the (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for WED 07/31 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Markets to Reveal Today If the Fed is Still Relevant and Credible With the increasingly vocal interference of the president with the monetary policy, today the markets will assess (yet again) the independence and credibility of the Fed. Read below for our models’ trading plans for the day. (please click here to check the (more…)
Despite Market Rattling Headlines (China, Trump) Investors In a Waiting Mode With the apparently market rattling headlines coming out involving China and Trump’s trigger happy tweets, investors seem to be in a waiting mode. Our models continue the same trading plans from yesterday for today as well. Read below for our models’ trading plans for (more…)
China, Fed, Earnings – the Old (real) Issues are Back in Focus this Week! With the reality of the trade war with China unfolding clearly even in the words of the administration, investors are bracing to embrace uncertainty (“we are 90% close to a trade deal” no longer works). The challenge for Fed to be (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for FRI 07/26 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Earnings Earnings Everywhere…And a Lot of Profits to Rejoice With the busiest day of the earnings season showing off some strong earnings, investors appear to be impressed and bidding the markets up this morning. As we have been writing this week, unless some major negative headline or narrative hits the wires, expect no bearish sentiment (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for THU 07/25 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Earnings Earnings Everywhere… With the Mueller testimony in the rear view mirror, markets to shift focus onto earnings announcements today (barring any major, unexpected developments elsewhere). Many analysts and research firms are cautioning about the lofty valuations and the potentially dwindling earnings growth. While such headlines may appear tempting for the bears itching to initiate (more…)
