Chop Fest Till Tomorrow’s FOMC Event With the FOMC rate decision on tap for tomorrow, there may not be much of a directional action until then. Any attempts to try to predict potential directionality from the price action before that could prove a fool’s errand. After flashing indications for a potential peaking in the upside (more…)
Upside Momentum Likely Peaking Our last trading plans published last Friday, 07/15, speculated: “Next Week to See Some Movement?”. We did indeed see a strong upside momentum that blasted the index out of the 3855-3845 range and brought it to test 4000 level. After being in an indeterminate state for all this week, our models (more…)
Stuck for a Week – Next Week to See Some Movement? On the day our last published Trading Plans on Monday, 07/11, stated our positional trading plans going into an indeterminate state, the index closed at 3854.43. After the full week filled with very important economic releases and major earnings kick off – and, volatile (more…)
NFP Friday – Not Many Fireworks? The Non-Farm Payrolls numbers this morning did not really warrant any fireworks so far, despite the 10-year yields rising a bit pre-opening. The rest of the day’s action might mainly be driven by what happens to the yields. Barring any strong pull downwards, the bias remains to the upside. (more…)
Our Key Level is Again in Play – Day 2 After breaking through the 3793 level we published for the last few days, the index is now rushing to test the 3855 level our models have been talking about multiple times in the last few weeks. This is the “20% down from the last peak” (more…)
Our Key Level is Again in Play On this FOMC Day After breaking through the 3793 level we published for the last few days, the index is now rushing to test the 3855 level our models have been talking about multiple times in the last few weeks. This is the “20% down from the last (more…)
Inflation Fears leading to Recession Scares As we stated in our trading plans on Thursday, 06/30 morning: “the index is now testing a key range of 3765-3793”. This range was breached that day but the index climbed back up. This range is in play again this morning. If the index registers a daily close below (more…)
The ISM Release to Set the Market Tone Next? As we stated in our trading plans yesterday morning: “the index is now testing a key range of 3765-3793”. This range was breached yesterday but the index climbed back up close, and is testing the upper limit approaching the session open. The ISM release at 10:00am (more…)
Consolidation or Next Leg of Volatility? With the rejection of the 3950 level, and with the breakdown below 3855 level, the index is now testing a key range of 3765-3793. If a daily close above this range then it would indicate ongoing consolidation of the recent move up, but if a daily close below this (more…)
Range Bound Consolidation – Day 2 Our published trading plans yesterday, Tue. 06/28, stated: “Until it breaks above the 3950 level meaningfully, we could be headed for some days of consolidation within the 3850-3950 range”. The 3950 level was rejected yesterday and the index is back in the low 3800’s, potentially whipsawing around the 3855 (more…)
