Trading Plans for THU. 3/14/24 – Markets Continue to Ignore the Stickier Inflation?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 3/14/24 This morning’s PPI numbers came in much hotter than expected, but the futures markets so far have been ignoring it and indicate positive opening to the session. It remains to be seen how the price action develops into the session later. While the sticky inflation numbers (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 3/13/24 – Don’t Count This Precarious Rally Out, Yet (Day 4)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 3/13/24 As we have been publishing for the last few days: “Bears need to be patient and not jump the gun, as any hasty shorts could prove to be choking in another bear trap”. Last Friday’s NFP numbers showed that Powell’s unexpected dovish tone on Thursday could (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 2/21/24 – Fed Minutes to Show their Sticky Inflation Concerns?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 2/21/24 Today’s Fed Minutes release to potentially give clues to the markets as to how concerned the Fed is about inflation getting persistent. Last week’s PPI reinforced the latest “stickier inflation” story. As per our trading plans published on Friday, 2/9/24: “4975 is the immediate support level, (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 2/20/24 – Stickier Inflation Quashing Rate-cut Hopes, Yet? (Day 5)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 2/20/24 Last week’s PPI reinforced the latest “stickier inflation” story. As per our trading plans published on Friday, 2/9/24: “4975 is the immediate support level, and 5027 is the next main resistance level to watch for”. On that day, The index closed at 5026.62 – just under (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 2/16/24 – Stickier Inflation Quashing Rate-cut Hopes, Yet? (Day 4)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 2/16/24 This morning’s PPI reinforces the latest “stickier inflation” story. As per our trading plans published on Friday, 2/9/24: “4975 is the immediate support level, and 5027 is the next main resistance level to watch for”. On that day, The index closed at 5026.62 – just under (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 01/12 – Market Attention Shifting from Inflation to Earnings

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 01/12 This morning’s muted PPI numbers made inflation less of a worry for the markets, and now the attention is shifting to the earnings season. The banks’ earnings announced so far today have been anything but exuberant, mostly due to regulatory charges. The earnings announcements next week (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 10/31 – FOMC to Spook Investors with Inflation Stories Tomorrow?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 10/31 This week is filled with significant macro economic events with PPI, FOMC, and Nonfarm Payrolls. Powell’s speech last week provided a clear indication that the Fed is relentless in their fight against the sticky inflation and are willing to risk an economic slowdown to win that (more…)

Trading Plans for MON. 10/30 – Huge Macro Week Ahead – Day 1

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 10/30 This week is filled with significant macro economic events with PPI, FOMC, and Nonfarm Payrolls. Powell’s speech last week provided a clear indication that the Fed is relentless in their fight against the sticky inflation and are willing to risk an economic slowdown to win that (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 09/22 – Markets’ Mind Still on the Hawkish Fed

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 09/22 As our daily trading plans reinforced before the FOMC meeting yesterday: “…any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to “being done” can spark a frenzied rally in the coming weeks but any unexpectedly hawkish indications could further accelerate the downward push. Nobody has the crystal ball (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 09/21 – Market Bull Goldilocks No More

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 09/21 As our daily trading plans reinforced before the FOMC meeting yesterday: “…any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to “being done” can spark a frenzied rally in the coming weeks but any unexpectedly hawkish indications could further accelerate the downward push. Nobody has the crystal ball (more…)