If Your Stomach Churns, You Should Avoid Rollercoaster Rides! As pointed to in our yesterday’s forecast, our models indicated a broad range of 2350-2485 as the trading range to monitor. The S&P 500 Index closed just under four points above the upper bound of this range in a wild spike up in the last (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 12/27
Do You Call a 0.28 Point Gain A Santa “Rally”?! Check the numbers before you believe the (expected) hype/emotion that yesterday’s historic intraday rally instigated all around about the “Santa rally” coming to the markets albeit a bit late! The S&P 500 Index closed at 2467.42 exactly one week back – last Thursday, 12/20. (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 12/26
Will the Story of 2019 be called “The Grinch Who Stole the New Year”? The Grinch who stole the 2018 Christmas is likely to keep dancing his way into the New Year. Our Models indicate NOT to trust the deadcat bounces likely to appear on the markets over the next few sessions remaining in 2018. (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 12/24
Friday’s Close Points to the Grinch! The index closed below the key 2440 level on Friday (12/21), crushing the last hopes some held for the Santa to show up in the markets. All indications are that the Grinch is dancing all over the market this holiday season. Today being a half day, expect stop-loss related (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 12/21
Dead Cat Bounce or An Interim Low Set Yesterday? Today’s Close Might Hold Clues! While indicating potential spike up today for some respite from the last two days of beating, our models continue to caution that any moves up could be potential bull traps while the index is below 2535. The index has to register (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 12/20
Not Much to Boost the Markets In the Near Term – Any “Oversold” Bounce May be Short-lived Models continue to caution that any moves up could be potential bull traps – they indicate selling on any up-moves while the index is below 2535. The next key support lies around 2475. Model Biases/Outlook: As we reiterated (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 12/19
Today, It’s All About the Fed and the Interest Rates Outlook! Our models continue to book winning trades in these treacherous markets! Models continue to caution that any moves up could be potential bull traps – they indicate selling on any up-moves while the index is below 2610. Model Biases/Outlook: As we reiterated since the midterm (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 12/18
Treacherous Markets – Models Indicate Using Any Up-swings to Sell Our models continue to book winning trades in these treacherous markets! Models continue to caution that any moves up could be potential bull traps – they indicate selling on any up-moves while the index is below 2610. Model Biases/Outlook: As we reiterated since the midterm elections, (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 12/17
Bears Settling In – Do Not Get into Bull Traps Ahead The key range our models have been pointing to as holding the market since last Monday 12/10, has been breached to the downside on Friday 12/14 with the S&P 500 Index closing below the 2618 level (closed at 2599.95). Our medium term models have (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 12/14
It’s About China’s Economy, if Not Trade War There are a lot of narratives that can fit what is happening to/in the financial markets, and today it’s about China’s slowing economy. With or without all these narratives and headlines, we called – days before here – for a “breather” from the bear attacks AND a (more…)