Trading Plans for THU. 09/21 – Market Bull Goldilocks No More

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 09/21 As our daily trading plans reinforced before the FOMC meeting yesterday: “…any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to “being done” can spark a frenzied rally in the coming weeks but any unexpectedly hawkish indications could further accelerate the downward push. Nobody has the crystal ball (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 09/20 – The Fed Inflation Fight Still On?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 09/20 While the interest rate decision of the Fed at this week’s meeting is a foregone conclusion, it is the semantics of Chair Powell’s presser that the markets are going to obsess over. And, for the right reasons, as any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 09/19 – Sitting Out the Markets Today

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 09/19 While the interest rate decision of the Fed at this week’s meeting is a foregone conclusion, it is the semantic of Chair Powell’s every word that the markets are going to obsess over. And, for the right reasons, as any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting (more…)

Trading Plans for MON. 09/18 – Pivotal Fed Meeting Week

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 09/18 While the interest rate decision of the Fed at this week’s meeting is a foregone conclusion, it is the semantic of Chair Powell’s every word that the markets are going to obsess over. And, for the right reasons, as any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 09/15 – Approaching an Inflection Point

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 09/15 As of the latest trading plans we published yesterday, Wed. 09/13: “Our models indicate bearish bias for positional trades while the index is below 4470 on a daily close basis. The index has to close above 4507 for our models to abandon the bearish bias”. The (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 09/14 – PPI and Initial Jobless Claims

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 09/14 As of the latest trading plans we published yesterday, Wed. 09/13: “Our models indicate bearish bias for positional trades while the index is below 4470 on a daily close basis. The index has to close above 4507 for our models to abandon the bearish bias”. Just (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 09/13 – CPI – Inflation, Disinflation, but No Recession

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 09/13 Our trading plans published yesterday stated: “Our current bearish bias for positional trading continues, with the bear case appearing a little more plausible in the coming days. It is hard to find what unexpected bullish scenarios could evolve in the near future, so bulls need to (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 09/13 – CPI – Inflation, Disinflation, but No Recession

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 09/13 Our trading plans published yesterday stated: “Our current bearish bias for positional trading continues, with the bear case appearing a little more plausible in the coming days. It is hard to find what unexpected bullish scenarios could evolve in the near future, so bulls need to (more…)

Trading Plans for MON. 09/11 – Potential Spike-up Ahead?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 09/11 Our current bearish bias for positional trading notwithstanding, our intraday models point to a possible spike up today. Shorts need to be patient and not jump the gun but wait for confirmation for initiating any new shorts. Our models indicate bearish bias for positional trades while (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 09/08 – Back to the Basics – Day 2

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 09/08 As we wrote in our trading plans published yesterday, Thu. 09/07: “The index failed to close below 4450 yesterday, but showed continued weakness. The price action in the pre-market session after the Initial Jobless Claims is showing the potential for further weakness to develop. The retail (more…)