China Trade Talks – Again – To Pump the Markets More? After registering yet another record high, markets are now seeing overnight headlines attempting to tout “talks” between U.S. and China to strike a trade agreement (“Phase 1”, because a real agreement does not really look feasible?). Yes, for the umpteenth time…and, yes, it could (more…)
Last Hurrah or the Start of the Next Leg Up? For the last two weeks, the main theme of our daily morning trading plans has been: “our models do NOT point to any bearish bias, yet. Possible consolidation ahead while the index is between 3390 and 3340”. The theme remains intact for today, and possibly (more…)
Up or Down – the Road Ahead is Not Straight In our model trading plans on Wednesday morning, we wrote: “After successfully calling the break to a record new high, our models point to a possible exhaustion in the leg-up before any meaningful continuation to manifest”. That “possible exhaustion” seems to be setting into the (more…)
Early Signs of Record Run Fatigue… In our model trading plans yesterday morning, we wrote: “After successfully calling the break to a record new high, our models point to a possible exhaustion in the leg-up before any meaningful continuation to manifest”. That “possible exhaustion” our models were pointing to materialized overnight (purportedly starting with the (more…)
Record High Exhaustion or Next Leg-up Exhilaration or… After successfully calling the break to a record new high, our models point to a possible exhaustion in the leg-up before any meaningful continuation to manifest. However, bears should not jump in to take any directional short positions yet, as the market internals point to bullish bias (more…)
S&P 500 Index Made a Record High This Morning! What Now? Sixth time IS a Charm, after all! We wrote in our yesterday’s trading plans: “After failing four days in a row to breach the pre-pandemic record high, the index appears all set to test the record high and succeed this week, if not today”. (more…)
Institutional Investors Following Individual Investors?! With this morning’s new target from Goldman Sachs for 2020 year end S&P 500 Index – and, with JPMorgan joining them in the bullish outlook – the institutions appear poised to making the grounds ready for the next rally. Interestingly, this follows American Association of Individual Investors’ sentiment index recorded (more…)
Fourth Time’s a Charm? After failing three days in a row to breach the pre-pandemic record high, could the index try to test the record high and succeed today? If it succeeds, can it be sustained? Are there underlying economic factors supporting such move for the long term? These are the questions on almost every...
Almost There?! Regardless of the underlying economic rationale (or, lack thereof), the index appears on its way to test the record high set before the pandemic. Whether it can really breach the top and if it sustains it after that or falls back is anybody’s guess. As we wrote last week, “Structurally, there is no...
New High, Try Again? Depending on one’s perspective, Kamala Harris’ pick as Biden’s running mate could mean a more moderate Democratic platform and hence good for the markets even in case of a Democrats’ win in November, or a potential loss for Trump and hence bad for the markets. The reality might be something more...
