S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 04/25 Big Tech earnings, Case Schiller Home Price Indices, Consumer Confidence, New Home Sales, Fed Manufacturing Index, and First Republic Bank’s ongoing turmoil…there is a lot the markets are trying to parse, process, and digest this morning. When there is more than what you can digest, the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 04/24 Despite the initial downward momentum post-PMI release last week, markets still seem stuck in the tug-of-war between the “Inflation peaked” optimism and the “recession onset” concerns, and the earnings season so far has failed to give either the bulls or the bears any real traction. The (more…)
Markets Struggling to Gain Some Traction – Day 2 Despite the initial downward momentum post-PMI release this morning, markets still seem stuck in the tug-of-war between the “Inflation peaked” optimism and the “recession onset” concerns, and the earnings season so far has failed to give either the bulls or the bears any real traction. Whether (more…)
“Inflation Peaked” Relief v/s “Recession Onset” Concern – Day 3 With the CPI and FOMC minutes almost confirming the cooling off of the inflation and potential “mild” recession, markets are on-and-off with the sense of relief for a day and with the sense of concern another day. The imminent earnings season should help decide which (more…)
“Inflation Peaked” Relief v/s “Recession Onset” Concern With the CPI and FOMC minutes almost confirming the cooling off of the inflation and potential “mild” recession, markets are on-and-off with the sense of relief for a day and with the sense of concern another day. The imminent earnings season should help decide which way the sentiment (more…)
Exuberant Pumping-up to Settle Back Into Reality? Day 7 In our trading plans published Tue. 04/04, we wrote: “With the quarter-end window dressing, and the new month beginning related artificial/seasonal boost to the markets behind us, the reality of the economy, inflation, and the interest rates soon to be driving the markets again. Whether it (more…)
Exuberant Pumping-up to Settle Back Into Reality? With the quarter-end window dressing, and the new month beginning related artificial/seasonal boost to the markets behind us, the reality of the economy, inflation, and the interest rates soon to be driving the markets again. Whether it would be glass-half-full or glass-half-empty camp that leads remains to be (more…)
Window Dressing Buoying The Markets? As we wrote in our trading plans on Tue., 03/28: “However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window dressing. We will get more clarity on this potential as we approach Friday”. Our (more…)
Choppiness to Persist Into Friday? As we wrote in our trading plans for yesterday, Tue., 03/28: “However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window dressing. We will get more clarity on this potential as we approach Friday”. (more…)
Rising Yields Back In Focus With the banking chaos now a bit settled, the markets seem to be focusing back on Interest rates (and, hence inflation). The rising yields today seem to be holding back the markets. However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the (more…)
