Big Earnings Week Winding Down – What Will Feed the Bulls Next? The earnings momentum could have registered its short term peak yesterday, and with the earnings of AMZN and AAPL taking some steam off of it some consolidation could be in order in the coming days. Valuations, inflation concerns, and delta-plus worries could begin (more…)
Last Two Days of the Big Earnings Week The earnings momentum could be reaching a crescendo today and tomorrow, and some consolidation could be in order after that. Valuations, inflation concerns, and delta-plus worries could begin to appear on investors’ radars once this momentum-based frenzy subsides. Our positional trading models are sporting a neutral bias. (more…)
Earnings Earnings Everywhere… With the Mueller testimony in the rear view mirror, markets to shift focus onto earnings announcements today (barring any major, unexpected developments elsewhere). Many analysts and research firms are cautioning about the lofty valuations and the potentially dwindling earnings growth. While such headlines may appear tempting for the bears itching to initiate (more…)
More Koolaid or Not – That Seems to be The Question of the Day! As has become evident (again) with yesterday’s market action, investors (or, market “players”?) seem to be hanging on to the “hope” (and, “demand”/”expectation”) that the Fed is going to cut the rates deeply (read, by 50 basis points) this month. But, (more…)
How Long Can this Ride Last? That’s Not the Right Question! As we wrote yesterday morning’s outlook, trying to justify what our “gut” “feeling” says what “should or should not be” happening in the markets is NOT what one should do to invest or trade in the markets. Yet, most individual investors/traders are known to (more…)
Does Something Not Seem Right with this Bull? When markets are making new highs on old news, and when the Fed is dovish when the financial markets are at historic highs and the unemployment at historic lows – if you “feel” something does not add up, you are not being irrational but you may not (more…)
When Hype Gets Exhausting, Markets Turn to Basics…Likely this Week In the apparent absence of the constant barrage of hype and market propping antics by various parties with vested interests – both at the geopolitical level and on the domestic monetary policy level – markets seem to be pondering about the economic basics of the (more…)
Beware of Sharks in Shallow Waters (low liquidity) Due to the shortened trading hours for the July 4th holiday, expect thin trading in the markets. When liquidity is low, typically retail traders get whip-sawed with wild, sudden moves OR sustained moves in a direction opposite to the majority retail positioning (market makers, anyone?). Unless you (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for Tue 07/02 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
The Market Fireworks – Enjoy While It Lasts Barring any major, unexpected economic or geopolitical headlines, the markets are likely going to be in a holding pattern until (or, at most?) this celebratory, abbreviated week concludes. As we wrote last Thursday, “With the interest rate cut hopes drying up, a trade war resolution is the (more…)
