Fourth Time’s a Charm? After failing three days in a row to breach the pre-pandemic record high, could the index try to test the record high and succeed today? If it succeeds, can it be sustained? Are there underlying economic factors supporting such move for the long term? These are the questions on almost every...
Almost There?! Regardless of the underlying economic rationale (or, lack thereof), the index appears on its way to test the record high set before the pandemic. Whether it can really breach the top and if it sustains it after that or falls back is anybody’s guess. As we wrote last week, “Structurally, there is no...
New High, Try Again? Depending on one’s perspective, Kamala Harris’ pick as Biden’s running mate could mean a more moderate Democratic platform and hence good for the markets even in case of a Democrats’ win in November, or a potential loss for Trump and hence bad for the markets. The reality might be something more...
The Index Gunning for a New High? Regardless of the underlying economic rationale (or, lack thereof), the index appears on its way to test the record high set before the pandemic. Whether it can really breach the top and if it sustains it after that or falls back is anybody’s guess. As we wrote last...
No Sign of the Bear, Anywhere As we wrote last week, “Structurally, there is no damage to the bullish bias in the S&P 500 index even if it might come under attack shortly. Until proven otherwise, bears need to wait before putting on any directional shorts. Our models caution against any shorts while the index...
Jobs Number Good or Bad? It Depends! The jobs report numbers this morning could be viewed as positive or negative, depending on one’s perspective. And, hence, the whipsaw in the index futures markets following the report. Structurally, there is no damage to the bullish bias in the S&P 500 index even if it might come...
Not a Bad-news is a Good-news? The jobless claims headlines this morning could feed the bulls even if the details could mean nothing good going on for the economy in the midst of this pandemic. Structurally, there appears more room for the current bull run although it might be running out of steam shortly. Until...
S&P 500 MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED 08/05
Bull Trap or Bear Trap? Last Friday’s trading plans stated: “Our models are looking for a daily close above 3260 today AND a follow through on Monday, to adapt a bullish bias”. And, our yesterday’s trading plan stated: “We got a close above the 3260 on Friday, and our models are looking for a close...
M&A Headlines and the First-Trading-Day-of-Month M&A headlines and the first-trading-day-of-the-month phenomenon could be driving today’s price action, which may or may not necessarily follow through into the week. Last Friday’s trading plans stated: “Our models are looking for a daily close above 3260 today AND a follow through on Monday, to adapt a bullish bias”....