Bull-market or Bald-eagle Market?! After failing to close above the widely followed 200-day moving average at around 3000, the index is giving it another try with flying high above it in the overnight futures market. Can the index obliterate this level in one fell swoop or would it be struggling here for a while? Either...
Bipolar Markets: Melt Up/Down with Hope/Despair Our models spent last couple of weeks pointing to the 2950 as the key level to clear. On Friday’s close above that level (with the close at 2955.45), S&P 500 Index appears set to steam way past it with vengeance, with the morning futures pointing to levels above 3010....
Consolidation or a Search for Direction? Yesterday’s close below 2950 (at 2948.51, to be specific) emphasizes the validity of our models’ thesis focused on the 2950 level. With the memorial day holiday on Monday, both the bulls and the bears might want to square off their positions and look for a fresh start next week....
Market Internals Point to Indecision In Digesting the Latest Rally The main thesis of our trading plans for the last few days has been: “The 2950 level is the immediate resistance which needs to be cleared on a daily close basis for further upside. Bears should exercise caution while the index is above 2900. If...
Approaching Another Leg of Explosion or Implosion The main thesis of our trading plans for the last few days has been: “The 2950 level is the immediate resistance which needs to be cleared on a daily close basis for further upside. Bears should exercise caution while the index is above 2900. If you are bullish,...
Agile Enough to Play with Turbulence? Yesterday’s dizzying upside rally leaves the 2780 support firmly cemented. Now, markets could take some time digesting this with some sideways consolidation, before attempting to thrust another directional push. The 2950 level is the immediate resistance which needs to be cleared on a daily close basis for further upside....
Chasing the Gap? On the morning of Monday, 05/04/20, we wrote: “The worse than estimated GDP contraction, the 30+ million total job losses, and mainly, Warren Buffet sitting tight on his hand…seem to be finally catching up with the markets this week? A daily close below 2780 today will confirm that”. After getting supported at...
Will the Support Hold Today? Last Monday (05/04) morning we wrote: “The worse than estimated GDP contraction, the 30+ million total job losses, and mainly, Warren Buffet sitting tight on his hand…seem to be finally catching up with the markets this week? A daily close below 2780 today will confirm that”. After getting supported at (more…)
Bears to Cautiously Watch Today’s Price Action Last Monday (05/04) morning we wrote: “The worse than estimated GDP contraction, the 30+ million total job losses, and mainly, Warren Buffet sitting tight on his hand…seem to be finally catching up with the markets this week? A daily close below 2780 today will confirm that”. After getting (more…)
Bears Getting a Little Bolder? As our models were indicating over the last two weeks, we could have seen the crescendo at the 61.8% retracement around 2950 during the last week of April, unless the index successfully tests that level this week. Between 2850 and 2950, our models would be in an indeterminate state, below (more…)
