Extreme Levels of Noise and Sharp Spikes – Hazardous to Trade! “Limit down” and “Limit up” have become almost daily occurrence these days. The sharp and violent spikes in either directions make it hazardous to trade or invest. Unless you are required to trade (professional trader? obsessive compulsive trader?), better to sit out the markets...
The Bear is Officially In! With the Dow officially entering the bear market yesterday, it’s no wonder the other indices joined it with the overnight futures down big…hitting the rare “limit down”. The 11 year bull market is now officially dead, and for most investors/traders this is a new territory to navigate. Unless some unexpected...
Be Careful with Bull Traps and Bear Traps! Yesterday’s headlines-driven (“fiscal stimulus to the rescue”) rally fizzled out in the overnight futures market. It may be another wild day, with wild spikes in both directions…trapping under capitalized traders into deep draw downs and stop losses. Unless you are a professional trader with well capitalized accounts,...
Coronavirus, Oil Price, Plummeting Yields, Economic Stimulus Promise…Chop Chop… (trading plans effective from 9:45am ET) It is not a given that economic stimulus can help with the demand side shocks to the economy nor with a health crisis/pandemic. Retail traders need to be very cautious in getting sucked into the mini-rallies that can only prove...
Oil Price-war Joins Coronavirus in Chopping The Markets! Our last trading plan published Friday morning said: “Since turning bearish on Friday’s (02/21) close, our models called for a test of the 2850-2880 level which was already tested and then meaningfully bounced back. These lows could be open for testing again today or on Monday!”. As...
Do Not Try to Catch a Falling Knife! There is no structural indications of any bottom to this fall, yet. If the 10% correction could not decisively rev up the markets, if the Fed’s aggressive rate cut could not meaningfully offer a boost up, then only a credible handle on or some kind of positive...
Not a Bull, Not a Bear – It’s a Hopping Kangaroo! Some can ride a bull, some can ride a bear…but, very few may be able to ride a kangaroo! Unless you are a professional trader engaged in mostly execution trades, you probably would be better off sitting out these wild swings in these markets!...
Financial Markets, the Grand Slams of Yo-Yo ? With the last few sessions of the wild swings the markets have seen, the financial markets have become the grand slam of the yo-yo! Unless you are a professional trader engaged in mostly execution trades, you probably would be better off sitting out these wild swings than...
Can a Pandemic be Fought with Monetary Policy? The G-7 Central Banks have spoken that they didn’t think they can be on the front lines of fighting the Coronavirus pandemic, and that government leaders (politicians?) can not just wash off their hands! Central bankers are saving their ammunition for later use as a last resort...
Worsening Coronavirus vs. First-of-month Fund Flows Today being the first trading day of a new month, the systematic investment fund flows into the markets coupled with potential temptation on retail investors/traders to “bargain hunt” could lead to strong whipsaws in the markets. However, there is no structural indications of any bottom to this fall, yet....
