Back to Basics Anytime Soon? With the geopolitical tensions fading away, and the watered down “trade war” (“Phase-1” anyone?) truce/deal playing the headlines ad nauseam, markets might be tempted to focus on some fundamental economic factors for a change, some time soon. The just-kicking-in earnings season could just be the pivot needed. The next leg (more…)
Markets Getting Tightly Wound Up? Markets are getting tightly wound up in the wake of the much hyped geopolitical tensions from last week. While the tensions may not be declared gone, they surely are not at a level to impact the markets adversely. This, coupled with the retail positioning, could be tightly winding the markets (more…)
Lack of Potential Economic Bust does NOT Equal to an Economic Boost! De-escalation of potential geopolitical nightmares may be explained as driving the markets from crashing, but it can not really be explained for markets to make new highs! That is what is perplexing most market players in the wake of new market highs being (more…)
Fools Rush in Where Angels Fear to Tread The Iranian attacks on US bases in Iraq last evening lead the futures markets to nose dive with the S&P 500 futures dropping to below 3200 – only to spring right back up as soon as it became a bit clear that a bit cautious and prudent (more…)
Geopolitical Headlines Not too Strong to Drive any Directional Moves, Yet On the lines of our caution to the bears to not jump the gun, the market action on Monday was anything but panicky, and could have trapped some bears. Nevertheless, this should NOT make the bulls beat their chests yet. The geopolitical fallout from (more…)
Key Inflection Points to be Tested this Week Friday’s US airstrikes killing the Iranian military general could be setting off an avalanche of geopolitical tensions, and triggering a potential bull trap in the markets. The chances for these tensions to escalate are higher than not, and it could add to the technical risks the markets (more…)
Geopolitical Tensions Back on the Radar – Setting up a Bull Trap or Just a Blip? The overnight US airstrikes killing the Iranian military general could be setting off an avalanche of geopolitical tensions, and triggering a potential bull trap in the markets. The chances for these tensions to escalate are higher than not, and (more…)
The Last Hurrah of the Bulls or the Next Leg? Many professional and institutional traders may not be back in full strength until Monday. Whoever is back could be driving some wild spiky moves in either directions, so caution is warranted when jumping into positional trades on spikes up or down. Structurally, we are still (more…)
Fireworks Ahead! Happy New Year’s Eve to everyone! Enjoy tonight’s fireworks – they sure are going to be followed by more fireworks in the markets in the coming days! Most professional and institutional traders are not in the markets until the New Year. Models indicate subdued trading to continue until normal liquidity and volumes return (more…)
Squaring off Positions Into the Year End The volumes today and tomorrow are likely to be mainly driven by traders squaring off their positions into the year end. Most professional and institutional traders are not in the markets until the New Year. Models indicate subdued trading to continue until normal liquidity and volumes return post (more…)
