S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 4/5/24
The much hotter than expected Non-Farm Payrolls numbers could be further dampening the rate-cut hopes, but the early market action does not indicate to any melt down from the bulls. At least, not yet.
We started this trading week with these words in our trading plans: “A daily close below 5170 is needed for the current bullish bias to be negated. This level appears poised to be tested this week sometime, and whether it rebounds from there or not would determine the next leg of the index”. Yesterday’s drop brought the index to below this key level of 5170 on a daily close basis, and our models have currently abandoned their bullish bias. It would take a daily close below 5145 for our models to turn bearish, and a daily close above 5210 for the models to turn bullish again. Between these two levels, models indicate no positional bias.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 5202, 5186, 5155, 5136, or 5123 with a 16-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 5198, 5174, 5150, 5133, or 5119 with a 13-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 5183, and explicit short exits on a break above 5176. Models also indicate instituting a break-even stop (which would trigger on a break above/below the entry level) once a position reached a 3-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:01am EST.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight – the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform’s bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) – depending on your risk tolerance and trading style – to determine the signals.
NOTES – HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker’s execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) For the execution of our models trading plans, a “break above/below” is deemed to have occurred when the index closes above/below (if you are trading by bar close) a specified trading level.
(iv) For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during the regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. By design, they carry only one open position at any given time.
(v) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance – USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
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