S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 01/17

Tenth Consecutive Positive Close / Green Candle (On a Daily Open to Close Basis)? If the S&P 500 index closes higher today, it would mark the the tenth consecutive positive close on a daily open to close basis. The index is looking at some strong resistance levels in the 2635-2645 band which, if broken, could (more…)

TODAY IN THE MARKET – WED 01/16

Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Thursday, 01/17” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Thursday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Driven higher by strong quarterly earnings reported by Bank of America and Goldman Sachs, the S&P 500 index extended gains for the second straight session. Disappointing earnings reported by several companies (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for WED 01/16

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Wednesday 01/16 Per the plans published in the morning, our medium-term models’ plans lead to 7.80 index points in gains on one long trade today. Our aggressive intraday models’ plans saw a loss of 2.20 index points on one long. Below, you will find the detailed tracking (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 01/16

Earnings Earnings Everywhere With earnings season picking up, the markets are likely to focus on the basics – the economic fundamentals of the companies underlying the stocks, barring any major surprises on the geopolitical front. While the move up is encouraging to the bulls, below average volume is a concern still. Since Wed, 01/09, our (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for TUE 01/15

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Tuesday 01/15 Our medium-term models booked 4.92 index points in losses on one long trade. A second long trade (opened at 2606) is carried to tomorrow with the 12-point trailing stop sitting at 2599.74. Our aggressive intraday models realized a net profit of 1.47 index points on (more…)

TODAY IN THE MARKET – TUE 01/15

Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Wednesday, 01/16” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Wednesday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) A fresh round of stimulus announced by China to abate an economic slowdown boosted investor confidence at the open. With easing of fears of an imminent global recession, the S&P 500 (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 01/15

Brexit Chaos and Draghi Speech Potentially to Eclipse Earnings Headlines today Geopolitical events (not involving China, for a change) today likely to cause chaos in the currency markets which would spill over into the equity markets today – UK parliament to vote on Theresa Mayer’s Brexit Plan. Added to that, ECB chair Draghi is slated (more…)

TODAY IN THE MARKET – MON 01/14

Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Tuesday, 01/15” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Tuesday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Fears of a slowing global economy were revived following a surprise drop in China’s exports and imports for the month of December. China’s trade surplus with the U.S. hit a multi-year (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for MON 01/14

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Mon 01/14 Our medium-term models stayed out of the market today with no trades triggered. Our aggressive intraday models realized a net loss of 11.68 index points on one short and one long trade. Below, you will find the detailed tracking of our models’ trading plans for (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 01/14

Earnings Kickoff! Key earnings season kicks off today, most likely moving the focus back to basics. The news from China about its economy slowing down is drawing increasing attention from investors. And, headlines about China’s record trade surplus with the US keeps the trade war jitters from fading anytime soon. Since Wed, 01/09, our models (more…)