It’s a Yo-Yo Within the Range! Notwithstanding the attempt to move down, the index is stuck within the key range we forecast on Tue 02/26: “The S&P 500 Index failed to follow through on the break above the key 2813.62 level…the 2815 level is yet to be tested. On the downside, …. are the multi-layered key support (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 03/04
Testing the Next Peak? In the overnight futures market, the S&P 500 Index appears poised to test the key levels we published in the forecast from Tue 02/26: “The S&P 500 Index failed to follow through on the break above the key 2813.62 level (78.6 Fibonacci retracement of the July highs to January lows move). The (more…)
NFP Exuberance Adding to the Earnings Euphoria! Markets Feeling Giddy, Yet? NonFarm Payrolls just crushed the estimates and the index futures are flirting with overnight highs, albeit not pierced them yet. The headlines could add to the exuberance (irrational, yet? Need to ask Greenspan) already pervading the markets based on this week’s earnings beats (on (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 01/31
Earnings Euphoria to Power the Markets Ahead! Is It Sustainable? Facebook and Boeing are just a couple of names to beat the estimates. Couple with this the dovish Fed, and lack of any major geopolitical news (notwithstanding Venezuela), and we can see why the markets are acting giddy with euphoria! Unless something totally unexpected pops (more…)
Apple and FOMC – Main Drivers of Today’s Market Sentiment Apple’s earnings last night (“the worst is over”?), FOMC Interest Rates decision this afternoon, and the key technical levels to be the main drivers of the market action today. As we have been indicating since 01/09, the index is looking at strong resistance level around (more…)
Earnings, China, Venezuela, and the Fed! That’s a Lot on The Agenda this Week! Besides key earnings, the boiling geopolitical situations, the Fed meeting this week, and the key technical levels…there is a lot riding on this week’s market agenda, which could cause occasional wild gyrations. As we have been indicating since 01/09, the index (more…)
Back to Basics! Earnings to be the Main Focus this Week! Investors to shift their focus back to basics – and, examine the earnings from companies closely this week. As we have been indicating since 01/09, the index is looking at strong resistance level around 2665-75, and it is yet to clear the 2675 level. (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 01/25
The Drift Higher To Continue? Since Wed, 01/09, our models have been sporting a bullish bias which will be invalidated if the index registers a daily close below 2623. While above 2633, our models continue reiterating the bullish bias. The index is looking at strong resistance level around 2665-75, and if it closes above 2675 on (more…)
Earnings, Economic Releases, Geopolitics…A Packed Day for Headline Risk today Major earnings releases (Intel, Starbucks, American Airlines, Southwest, Union Pacific, Discover Financial etc), key economic releases (initial jobless claims, PMI, regional fed survey), and geopolitical events (European Central Bank, Venezuela, China)…today’s market calendar is packed with headlines-driven event risk. The index is facing the big (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 01/23
Markets Approaching an Inflection Point? (theme continued from yesterday) As we pointed out, S&P 500 index registered eleventh consecutive green candle on the daily charts (on an open-close basis) on Friday, 01/18, and it was to be expected to be broken, which it did yesterday with the close in the red. The index is now (more…)