Oil and Geopolitics to Trump the Fed this Week? The Saudi Refinery attack over the weekend is sending Oil prices to the stratosphere overnight, and the geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran are rising. Yet, the overnight action in equity futures is not as panicky as one would expect, possibly owing to an underlying “optimism” that the (more…)
The Race to The Bottom! The ECB’s announcement on their interest rates and the bond buying program coupled with Trump’s demands to follow suit are indications of an unprecedented territory of global negative rates in the not too distant future (Japan has already been there for a while). With no assets around yielding decent returns, (more…)
Earnings to Start Heating Up or Cooling Down the Market Action With the earnings season’s first busy week kicking off, it is imperative that the last week’s choppiness would give way in one direction or another. The talk about an “end of the current bullish leg” or the “run for a new high” likely to (more…)
Market Action Has Been How It Should Be – Boring! For the last few days, there have been no real market moving headlines and the market action has been just “boring” (to paraphrase a few of our readers). This is what a typical “consolidation” phase looks like. And, if you followed the markets for a (more…)
This Bull Train Keeps Chugging Along Until some (any/if/when) major negative earnings story hits the markets, all indications in our models point to the high probability that the markets are going to consolidate the recent bullish leg and then extend it to new highs in the coming weeks. It would be wishful thinking to look (more…)
No Sherlock Holmes Needed to See the Bull’s Fingerprints All Around! Until some (any/if/when) major negative earnings story hits the markets, all indications in our models point to the high probability that the markets are going to consolidate the recent bullish leg and then extend it to new highs in the coming weeks. It would (more…)
Any Major Surprises to the Market Bull this Earnings Season? As the earnings to start to trickle down, all indications in our models point to the probability that the markets are going to consolidate the recent bullish leg and then extend it to new highs in the coming weeks – barring any major negative surprises (more…)
A Positive Start for the Earnings Season! The positive earnings from JP Morgan kicking off the season bodes well for the next bull leg on the horizon! Nothing more needs to be said here.As been advising here for the last many days, extreme caution should be exercised if shorting this market while the SPX is (more…)
Traders Waiting for a Catalyst to Push the Markets Up/Down With the major economic releases for the week and the FOMC meeting minutes out of the way, markets are listless and looking for a thrust to move out of the consolidation range of the last few days. Once the earnings releases start pouring in, there (more…)
Can Fed Minutes Cause Concern to the Relaxing Bulls? The CPI came in higher than expected, the Fed has been vowing to take it easy on the interest rates. What does the Fed know that the markets don’t, yet? Is it something that can upset the current bull run? That’s the economic story line for (more…)
