Complacency or Consolidation? Markets to continue to be driven by – or, appear to be – earnings related headlines but the market action’s underpinnings point to technicals rather than fundamentals…for now. Check out below to see what our models’ trading plans are for today. (please click here to check the hypothetical trading results of (more…)
In this Market, Earnings (Still) Matter (?) Markets to continue to be driven by – or, appear to be – earnings related headlines. This is even more so in the absence of any major economic (barring the Retail Sales Advance release this morning, and Powell’s speech in Paris later in the day) releases that upset (more…)
Earnings Headlines to Drive the Markets In the absence of major, unexpected geopolitical headlines (China’s slowing growth has been expected, old news), markets seem to be set to focus on the earnings headlines for today. And, those headlines look to be on the side of the bulls as of this morning. As we wrote on (more…)
How Long Can this Ride Last? That’s Not the Right Question! As we wrote yesterday morning’s outlook, trying to justify what our “gut” “feeling” says what “should or should not be” happening in the markets is NOT what one should do to invest or trade in the markets. Yet, most individual investors/traders are known to (more…)
Does Something Not Seem Right with this Bull? When markets are making new highs on old news, and when the Fed is dovish when the financial markets are at historic highs and the unemployment at historic lows – if you “feel” something does not add up, you are not being irrational but you may not (more…)
It’s All About the Monetary Policy Today! The S&P 500 futures are up with the release of Powell’s prepared testimony, and seem to be celebrating a potential confirmation that the fed would be cutting the rates in its July meeting – which was being already factored in with a 100% probability in the derivatives markets! (more…)
Despite Powell, No Major Theme Moving the Markets The absence of the constant barrage of hype and market propping antics by various parties with vested interests – both at the geopolitical level and on the domestic monetary policy level – seems to prevail into today’s session, despite Powell’s scheduled testimony today. Call it hype-fatigue? Market (more…)
When Hype Gets Exhausting, Markets Turn to Basics…Likely this Week In the apparent absence of the constant barrage of hype and market propping antics by various parties with vested interests – both at the geopolitical level and on the domestic monetary policy level – markets seem to be pondering about the economic basics of the (more…)
Jobs Numbers, Options Expiration, Thin Liquidity Today’s Jobs number is not supportive of imminent interest rate cuts. It being Friday, options expiration levels would also pull the market in various ways. And, most professionals may be taking a long weekend, leading to thin liquidity. Together, these factors could be making for a choppy market today. (more…)
Beware of Sharks in Shallow Waters (low liquidity) Due to the shortened trading hours for the July 4th holiday, expect thin trading in the markets. When liquidity is low, typically retail traders get whip-sawed with wild, sudden moves OR sustained moves in a direction opposite to the majority retail positioning (market makers, anyone?). Unless you (more…)
