Don’t Fight the Fed! After going into a yawn first half-hour or so after Powell’s Jacksonhole Speech, markets seem to have come to accept the wisdom in the saying on the street: “Don’t Fight the Fed”. As we wrote in our Friday’s trading plans: “Our models indicate that the next leg could be down if (more…)
Powell’s Jacksonhole Speech The whole trepidation about what Powell might be saying in his Jacksonhole speech seems to be proving to be a dud, at least as of 15 minutes after the speech. The markets seem to be yawning at Powell’s perceived attempts to caution the markets about getting ahead of themselves. This could change (more…)
Profit Target Hit on Our Shorts After surviving through an upside spike – most likely due to a short squeeze – our positional trading models’ short hit the profit target and closed out yesterday. Our models are in an indeterminate state for now, waiting to monitor the market action at these levels. Bears should be (more…)
Bulls, Bears, and Pigs – Finale? For the 7th day since our first published trading plan with the theme of “Bulls, Bears, and Pigs”, we reiterated our caution to the bulls in our last published trading plans on Wed, 08/17. We wrote: “Despite the surge up since that day, if you have been playing on (more…)
Bulls, Bears, and Pigs – Day 7 For the 7th day since our first published trading plan with the theme of “Bulls, Bears, and Pigs”, we are cntinuing on that theme for today. Despite the surge up since that day, if you have been playing on the long side, it might be prudent to take (more…)
Bulls, Bears, and Pigs – Day 3 Anybody who’s been around the block for a while would have heard the saying on the street: “Bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered”. Over the last few weeks, if you have been a bull, you probably made money; if you are a bear, you (more…)
Bulls, Bears, and Pigs Anybody who’s been around the block for a while would have heard the saying on the street: “Bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered”. Over the last few weeks, if you have been a bull, you probably made money; if you are a bear, you probably made money; (more…)
Markets Biting off More Than They Can Chew? Our trading plans stated yesterday morning: “Our models indicate caution to the bears as they indicate avoid shorting the index while it is above 4085 on a daily close basis. It might take a few more sessions for the markets to digest the recent upside moves, before (more…)
Digesting the Recent Upside Swing The post-FOMC rally has taken the index on an upside swing and the index has been consolidating above the consolidation range our models indicated last Friday (4030-4110). Our models indicate caution to the bears as they indicate avoid shorting the index while it is above 4085 on a daily close (more…)
Markets at an Inflection Point The post-FOMC rally has taken the index to an inflection point, and today’s action could be holding clues for the directional bias for the next few weeks. Models indicate a likely consolidation within a range of 4030 and 4110. A daily close outside this could propel the index in that (more…)
