Coronavirus, Oil Price, Plummeting Yields, Economic Stimulus Promise…Chop Chop… (trading plans effective from 9:45am ET) It is not a given that economic stimulus can help with the demand side shocks to the economy nor with a health crisis/pandemic. Retail traders need to be very cautious in getting sucked into the mini-rallies that can only prove...
Oil Price-war Joins Coronavirus in Chopping The Markets! Our last trading plan published Friday morning said: “Since turning bearish on Friday’s (02/21) close, our models called for a test of the 2850-2880 level which was already tested and then meaningfully bounced back. These lows could be open for testing again today or on Monday!”. As...
Do Not Try to Catch a Falling Knife! There is no structural indications of any bottom to this fall, yet. If the 10% correction could not decisively rev up the markets, if the Fed’s aggressive rate cut could not meaningfully offer a boost up, then only a credible handle on or some kind of positive...
Not a Bull, Not a Bear – It’s a Hopping Kangaroo! Some can ride a bull, some can ride a bear…but, very few may be able to ride a kangaroo! Unless you are a professional trader engaged in mostly execution trades, you probably would be better off sitting out these wild swings in these markets!...
Financial Markets, the Grand Slams of Yo-Yo ? With the last few sessions of the wild swings the markets have seen, the financial markets have become the grand slam of the yo-yo! Unless you are a professional trader engaged in mostly execution trades, you probably would be better off sitting out these wild swings than...
Can a Pandemic be Fought with Monetary Policy? The G-7 Central Banks have spoken that they didn’t think they can be on the front lines of fighting the Coronavirus pandemic, and that government leaders (politicians?) can not just wash off their hands! Central bankers are saving their ammunition for later use as a last resort...
Worsening Coronavirus vs. First-of-month Fund Flows Today being the first trading day of a new month, the systematic investment fund flows into the markets coupled with potential temptation on retail investors/traders to “bargain hunt” could lead to strong whipsaws in the markets. However, there is no structural indications of any bottom to this fall, yet....
Buying Opportunity or Fools Rush In Where Angels Fear to Tread? We hear stories of retail/individual investors getting burned in both the bull markets and in bear markets as they tend to jump the gun very frequently, mostly driven by the headlines (“oversold”, “overbought”, etc. ?). Last three sessions, we published this in our morning (more…)
Approaching the Next Critical Range While we leave it to other “experts” to “explain” the rationale behind what is happening in the markets, our models continue to churn out critical markets levels that keep coming true. Last two sessions, we published this in our morning trading plans, while the mainstream financial media headlines were touting (more…)
Bull-trap Yesterday Morning – The Bear Now Prowling Openly Yesterday morning’s “Turnaround Tuesday” hype has many bulls (specially, retail traders/investors ?) trapped into the false spike that lasted barely for 20 minutes after the session opened. Many of them likely stopped out overnight in the 3am-4am meltdown lower. As our models confirmed, we are in (more…)
