S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 05/03
Thirty minutes into the FOMC rate decision, markets appear to be yawning at the numbers and just waiting to parse every word Powell is going to speak at the press conference beginning at 2:30pm ET. As of now, markets seem to be in a dilemma as to whether to be scared of the Fed speak about being tough on their fight with the inflation or to be hopeful that the regional bank crisis will soften the Fed’s stance.
Our models indicate no clear trend emerging until after the session close or early session tomorrow. Bulls need to be cautious about sudden spikes lower, while bears need to be cautious against taking on any shorts prematurely.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models, while flashing early bearish signs, indicate no trading plans for today.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops – if any – being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans for WED. 05/03:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4168, 4155, 4142, 4118, or 4103 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4164, 4149, 4125, 4112, or 4097 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4134, and explicit short exits on a break above 4130. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 02:45pm ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight – the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform’s bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) – depending on your risk tolerance and trading style – to determine the signals.
NOTES – HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker’s execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance – USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #bigtech, #earnings