Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Tuesday 05/14

Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month:

NOTE: The index by itself is NOT tradable. The model plans here based on the  S&P index level can be used to trade any instrument that tracks the index – the futures on the index (ES, ES-mini), the options on the futures (ES options), the SPX options, the ETF SPY are just a few examples of the instruments one can adapt these plans to.

These plans and results are hypothetical and NOT an investment advice to buy or sell any specific securities but are intended to aid – as informational, educational, and research tools – in arriving at your own investment/trading decisions. Please read the full disclosures at the bottom of this article for additional notes and disclaimers. 

 

Trading Plans/Forecast Published Tuesday Morning – Medium-Frequency Models

“For today, Tuesday 05/14, our medium-frequency models are sporting a cautiously bearish bias. Models indicate going short on a break below 2812 with a 10-point trailing stop, and going long on a break above 2832 with a 10-point trailing stop. Additionally, the models indicate a long-exit on a break below 2838 or 2828 and a short exit on a break above 2804.” 

 Trading Plan Results/Outcome

Tue 05/14: Aggressive intraday models booked +29.18 index points in gains on three long and two short trades

The index opened at 2820.12 and it was the session’s low as it floated higher than the open all through the session. It broke the 2832 level around 10:15am ET, triggering a long with a 10-point trailing stop. The long rode the session all the way to the session high of 2852.54 around 1:50pm, lifting the trailing stop trigger to 2842.54. The stop was triggered around 2:50pm, closing the long with a gain of 10.54 index points. The models stayed flat for the rest of the session.

 Past results this month – medium frequency models (hypothetical trades based on the trading plans published before markets open daily):

 Trading Plans/Forecast Published Tuesday Morning – Aggressive Intraday Models
“For today, Tuesday 05/14, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 2828 or 2822 or 2812 – both with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 2838 or 2824 or 2818 – both with an 8-point trailing stop.”

Trading Plan Results/Outcome:

Tue 05/14: Aggressive intraday models booked +29.18 index points in gains on three long and two short trades

The index opened at 2820.12 and it was the session’s low as it floated higher than the open all through the session. It broke the 2822 level within the first couple of minutes, triggering a long with an 8-point trailing stop. The long rode the session to an interim high of 2831.32 around 9:45am, lifting the trailing stop trigger to 2823.31. The stop was triggered in the following ten minutes, closing the long with a gain of 1.31 index points.

The index broke the 2822 level within the first couple of minutes, triggering the second long with an 8-point trailing stop. The long rode the session to an interim high of 2831.32 around 9:45am, and then fell lower and tripped the 2824 level to close the long with a gain of 2.00 index points, and simultaneously opening a short with 8-point trailing stop.

The short rode to an interim low of 2820.69 in the next few minutes and then climbed higher, tripping the 2822 level to close the short with a gain of 2.00 index points and simultaneously opening the third long of the day.

The long rode narrowly survived the 8-point trailing stop and rode all the way to the session high of 2852.54 around 1:50pm, lifting the trailing stop trigger to 2844.54. The stop was triggered around 2:50pm, closing the long with a gain of 22.54 index points.

The index broke below the 2838 level around 3:35pm, triggering the second short of the day with an 8-point trailing stop. The short survived until 3:55pm, at which time it was closed as per the intra-day mandate, at 2836.67, with a gain of 1.33 index points.

Thus, the aggressive intraday models made five trades – three longs and two shorts, all winning – and netted a total of 29.18 index points for the session.

Past results this month – aggressive intraday models (hypothetical trades based on the trading plans published before markets open daily):

 

NOTE: Remember that a “trailing stop” works differently from the traditional stop-loss order. Please bear in mind that the trailing stop’s trigger level would keep changing throughout the session (click here to read on the conceptual workings of a trailing-stop).

 

 

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURES AND NOTICES – READ CAREFULLY:


(i) This and other articles in the blog contain personal opinions of the author and is NOT representative of any organization(s) he may be affiliated with. This article is solely intended for informational and educational purposes only. It is NOT any specific advice or recommendation or solicitation to purchase or sell or cause any transaction in any specific investment instruments at any specific price levels, but it is a generic analysis of the instruments mentioned.

(ii) Do NOT make your financial investment or trading decisions based on this article; anyone doing so shall do so solely at their own risk. The author will NOT be responsible for any losses or loss of potential gains arising from any investments/trades made based on the opinions, forecasts or other information contained in this article.

(iii) Risk Warning: Investing, trading in S&P 500 Index – spot, futures, or options or in any other synthetic form – or its component stocks carries inherent risk of loss. Trading in leveraged instruments such as futures carries much higher risk of significant losses and you may lose more than you invested in them. Carefully consider your individual financial situation and investment objectives before investing in any financial instruments. If you are not a professional trader, consult a professional investment advisor before making your investment decisions.

(iv) Past performance: This article may contain references to past performance of hypothetical trades or past forecasts, which should NOT be taken as any representation or promise or guarantee of potential future profits. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

(v) The author makes no representations whatsoever and assumes no responsibility as to the suitability, accuracy, completeness or validity of the information or the forecasts provided.

(vi) All opinions expressed herein are subject to change at any time, without any notice to anyone