The Banking Meltdown Rollercoaster Does NOT Bode Disaster!

The banking meltdown that started last week is now being stemmed by the Fed, with the new Fed facility extended to the banks for liquidity. Despite the failures of SVB, Signature Bank, and Silvergate, do NOT bet against the Fed’s ability to stave off economic disasters in the U.S. There is no better country or financial markets that one can turn to if the U.S. markets themselves fail, whether one likes it or not.

With the situation still so fluid, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines unless you are extremely adept at navigating volatile markets.

Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for the day.

By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops – if any – being active in the overnight session.

Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.

Trading Plans for MON. 03/13:

Aggressive Intraday Models: With all the volatility – reminiscent of the dot com bubble burst and the 2008 GFC eras – in the markets due to the ongoing banking meltdown, it could be wiser to not engage in intraday aggressive trading for today, especially given the static nature of our trading plans. Nevertheless, for those of you who MUST trade (professional trader? addicted trader? whatever may be your reason), models indicate the below trading plans:

For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3896, 3881, 3865, or 3838 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3890, 3878, 3859, or 3833 with a 9-point trailing stop. 

Models indicate no explicit short exits or long exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:45am ET or later.

By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight – the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform’s bar timing convention).

To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) – depending on your risk tolerance and trading style – to determine the signals.

(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please click here to see for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!) 

NOTES – HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker’s execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance – USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.

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