Traders Waiting for a Catalyst to Push the Markets Up/Down With the major economic releases for the week and the FOMC meeting minutes out of the way, markets are listless and looking for a thrust to move out of the consolidation range of the last few days. Once the earnings releases start pouring in, there (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 04/10
Can Fed Minutes Cause Concern to the Relaxing Bulls? The CPI came in higher than expected, the Fed has been vowing to take it easy on the interest rates. What does the Fed know that the markets don’t, yet? Is it something that can upset the current bull run? That’s the economic story line for (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 04/09
Markets Getting Ready to Unwind Violently? Tomorrow’s ECB Rate Decision, followed by U.S. CPI release which is followed by FOMC meeting minutes and, the ever-present US-China trade talk “settlement” hype…a lot of headline risk for the markets to unwind violently towards new highs (rather than downwards) present this week. What follows once the earnings start (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 04/08
Markets to Begin Going Back to Basics? This week marks the beginning of the corporate earnings season, with some economic releases sprinkled across. These are likely to push the markets to start focusing on the economic fundamentals, sans any continued/new hype around the US-China trade talks. Any lack of upside moves should NOT be construed as (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 04/05
Jobs and Potential “Consensus” on China Trade Deal – Sell the News or Buy the Hope? This morning’s jobs data goes to assuage investor fears about potential recession on the horizon. But, is “lack of recession” enough to keep driving the markets higher? And, yet another feeding of hopes on US-China trade deal with the (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 04/04
US-China Trade Talks: Yep, Still (and, Again) the Trump Card Today As we wondered yesterday, with the ever dragged-on, “hopeful”, “imminent” US-China trade “deal”, are the markets drinking the Kool-Aid or real, nourishing tonic? Only time can tell! But, it is still (and, again) the trump card today (or, the Trump card, if you prefer (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 04/03
US-China Trade Talks: Kool-Aid or Nourishing Tonic for the Markets? With no major economic/financial/earnings catalysts to push further, a phase of consolidation could ensue for the rest of this week and/or until more market relevant economic and earnings news start to trickle in…with, of course, the China trade talks intermittently used, again and again, to (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 04/02
Bulls Ensconced in their Territory With the help of the China headlines, quarter-end window dressing, and first-of-month flows, the bulls managed to make a push deep into their territory. With no major catalyst to push further, a phase of consolidation could ensue for the rest of this week and/or until more market relevant economic and (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 04/01
It’s China, China, and China Today! (and, first-of-the-month) As we first wrote on last Monday (click here to see the original article), China continues to be the main driver of the market headlines – may be for lack of any other better/bigger news. This might continue into the week and/or until more market relevant economic (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 03/29
Quarterly Ritual of Window Dressing to Drive the Markets today? The alleged quarterly (for some, monthly) market ritual of window dressing to potentially drive up the market today, or cause choppy spikes up even in the face of any negative developments, frustrating the bears further. The market action today likely to favor the bulls than (more…)