Trade War Chaos…Explained by Laws of Physics! Those who thought we could just bulldoze our way through global trade wars without even a scratch, need to look no further than Physics 101 to appreciate the fact that there will be repercussions to our own economy from a trade war with a major trade “partner”. It (more…)
Despite Market Rattling Headlines (China, Trump) Investors In a Waiting Mode With the apparently market rattling headlines coming out involving China and Trump’s trigger happy tweets, investors seem to be in a waiting mode. Our models continue the same trading plans from yesterday for today as well. Read below for our models’ trading plans for (more…)
China, Fed, Earnings – the Old (real) Issues are Back in Focus this Week! With the reality of the trade war with China unfolding clearly even in the words of the administration, investors are bracing to embrace uncertainty (“we are 90% close to a trade deal” no longer works). The challenge for Fed to be (more…)
The Market Fireworks – Enjoy While It Lasts Barring any major, unexpected economic or geopolitical headlines, the markets are likely going to be in a holding pattern until (or, at most?) this celebratory, abbreviated week concludes. As we wrote last Thursday, “With the interest rate cut hopes drying up, a trade war resolution is the (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for Thu 06/27 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Directionless Trading to Continue into the G-20 Summit Weekend Barring any major, unexpected economic or geopolitical headlines, the markets are likely going to be in a holding pattern until the G-20 summit, which could shed some light on the potential for any resolution to the trade war. With the interest rate cut hopes drying up, (more…)
Choppiness Driven by Geopolitical Headlines The overnight futures have seen choppy trading driven by the headlines about the oil tanker fires in the Strait of Hormuz – sentiment oscillating between knee-jerk sell-off and knee-jerk bid-up. In which direction the sentiment stabilizes for the session is anybody’s guess, and potentially determined by the technicals of (more…)
Earnings to Start Heating Up or Cooling Down the Market Action With the earnings season’s first busy week kicking off, it is imperative that the last week’s choppiness would give way in one direction or another. The talk about an “end of the current bullish leg” or the “run for a new high” likely to (more…)
Market Action Has Been How It Should Be – Boring! For the last few days, there have been no real market moving headlines and the market action has been just “boring” (to paraphrase a few of our readers). This is what a typical “consolidation” phase looks like. And, if you followed the markets for a (more…)
This Bull Train Keeps Chugging Along Until some (any/if/when) major negative earnings story hits the markets, all indications in our models point to the high probability that the markets are going to consolidate the recent bullish leg and then extend it to new highs in the coming weeks. It would be wishful thinking to look (more…)
