S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 01/18

Is That a Real Bull in Sight? Not so Fast – Price Action till Monday Close Needed to Gain Clarity and Conviction! S&P 500 index registered tenth consecutive green candle on the daily charts (on an open-close basis)! The index tested the upper end of the 2635-2645 resistance band we mentioned in our forecast yesterday (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for THU 01/17

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Thursday 01/17 Per the plans published in the morning, our medium-term models’ plans lead to 2.06 index points in gains on one long trade today. Our aggressive intraday models’ plans saw a gain of 9.06 index points on one long. Below, you will find the detailed tracking (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 01/17

Tenth Consecutive Positive Close / Green Candle (On a Daily Open to Close Basis)? If the S&P 500 index closes higher today, it would mark the the tenth consecutive positive close on a daily open to close basis. The index is looking at some strong resistance levels in the 2635-2645 band which, if broken, could (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for WED 01/16

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Wednesday 01/16 Per the plans published in the morning, our medium-term models’ plans lead to 7.80 index points in gains on one long trade today. Our aggressive intraday models’ plans saw a loss of 2.20 index points on one long. Below, you will find the detailed tracking (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 01/16

Earnings Earnings Everywhere With earnings season picking up, the markets are likely to focus on the basics – the economic fundamentals of the companies underlying the stocks, barring any major surprises on the geopolitical front. While the move up is encouraging to the bulls, below average volume is a concern still. Since Wed, 01/09, our (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for TUE 01/15

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Tuesday 01/15 Our medium-term models booked 4.92 index points in losses on one long trade. A second long trade (opened at 2606) is carried to tomorrow with the 12-point trailing stop sitting at 2599.74. Our aggressive intraday models realized a net profit of 1.47 index points on (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 01/15

Brexit Chaos and Draghi Speech Potentially to Eclipse Earnings Headlines today Geopolitical events (not involving China, for a change) today likely to cause chaos in the currency markets which would spill over into the equity markets today – UK parliament to vote on Theresa Mayer’s Brexit Plan. Added to that, ECB chair Draghi is slated (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for MON 01/14

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Mon 01/14 Our medium-term models stayed out of the market today with no trades triggered. Our aggressive intraday models realized a net loss of 11.68 index points on one short and one long trade. Below, you will find the detailed tracking of our models’ trading plans for (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 01/14

Earnings Kickoff! Key earnings season kicks off today, most likely moving the focus back to basics. The news from China about its economy slowing down is drawing increasing attention from investors. And, headlines about China’s record trade surplus with the US keeps the trade war jitters from fading anytime soon. Since Wed, 01/09, our models (more…)

TODAY IN THE MARKET – FRI 01/11

Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Monday, 01/14” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Monday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Taking a breather from its longest winning streak since September 2018, the S&P 500 index closed today’s session mostly flat as investors keenly await the start of the earnings season next (more…)