Back to Basics, for a Day? The caution we published yesterday that a “buy the rumour, sell the news” reaction could be brewing in the markets is manifesting itself post-FOMC decision release. Any revelations of the easing/not-raising stance of the Fed seems to have lost its ability to induce a high in the investors, and (more…)
This Bull Keeps Running! Our models got the confirmation they were looking for, and have adapted bullish bias today, anticipating another leg up. This can only be thwarted by an unexpected news out of the FOMC tomorrow (deemed unlikely – hence a negative surprise if occurs), any “buy the rumour, sell the news” inflection (deemed (more…)
Pivotal Week Ahead! The FOMC meeting this week is yet another event that could cause a swift spike up – in addition to the ever-lurking US-China trade agreement. These are the two major factors that are keeping the bear at bay, for now. Any “buy the rumor, sell the news” unfolding after these could quickly (more…)
Witch of a Friday! The wildcard of the ever dragging-on US-China trade talks and the quadruple witching Friday add to the noise, making it difficult to discern any signals. Unless investing for a very long term or venturing into an aggressive intraday trade, wiser to stay on the sidelines today. Below, you will find our models’ (more…)
The Wildcard is, still, China! The wildcard of US-China trade talks seems to be cluttering the just about-to-be-clearing-up market view into the next directional bias. And, then…we have quadruple witching Friday tomorrow to make the waters even murkier and result in sudden volatility spikes with or without headlines. Trade lightly and carefully. Below, you will find (more…)
Advantage None The S&P 500 Index did close positive yesterday – an event our models were waiting for – but, the models did not embrace the move with conviction, and thus are not adapting a bullish bias yet. Models got back into an indeterminate state, waiting for a more convincing breakout in either direction.Below, you (more…)
Bear Beaten Down, Bull Appears Young and Vulnerable Last week, the S&P 500 Index failed to credibly break below the 2770 level which our models have been monitoring as the key level since last Tuesday, 02/26. After probing the 2730 level with the session low last Friday, 03/08, the index rebounded into the close with an (more…)
Bear or Bull, the Market Approaching Potential Inflection Point The S&P 500 Index did not confirm a bearish break down on Friday, after closing below the key 2770 level our models have been monitoring since last Tuesday, 02/26. A daily close below 2730 is required to confirm a shift to a bearish bias and a daily (more…)
Is That Bear About to Emerge Fully Today or Monday? With the S&P 500 closing yesterday below the key 2770 level our models have been monitoring since last Tuesday, 02/26, our models have negated the bullish bias today (click here to read the full forecast and/or to cross check the key levels). Yesterday Europe, last night (more…)
Lower Bound of the Key Range being Tested With the S&P 500 testing the 2770 level our models have been monitoring since last Tuesday, 02/26 (the index registered yesterday’s session low at 2768.69, and closed at 2771.45), expect strong battle here – bulls trying to defend the level and the bears trying to take it (more…)
