Results of Published Model Trades for TUE 07/23 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Rates, Trump, Earnings: Earnings the Starting Theme for Today Markets are getting a positive push from the earnings this morning. Our models indicate sustained bullish moves and/or bullish consolidation until/unless some strong and unexpected negative developments show up in the earnings arena or on the interest rates front (or, on the geopolitical sphere). Read below (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for MON 07/22 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Rates Trump Earnings or Rates, Trump, and Earnings? As the earnings season is kicking into gear, the talk of impending economic slowdown and the calls for rate cuts (as deep as 50 basis points) are morphing from a background noise to a clamor. History shows that the interest rates trump the earnings weakness or any (more…)
More Koolaid or Not – That Seems to be The Question of the Day! As has become evident (again) with yesterday’s market action, investors (or, market “players”?) seem to be hanging on to the “hope” (and, “demand”/”expectation”) that the Fed is going to cut the rates deeply (read, by 50 basis points) this month. But, (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for THU 07/18 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
How Long Can this Ride Last? That’s Not the Right Question! As we wrote yesterday morning’s outlook, trying to justify what our “gut” “feeling” says what “should or should not be” happening in the markets is NOT what one should do to invest or trade in the markets. Yet, most individual investors/traders are known to (more…)
Does Something Not Seem Right with this Bull? When markets are making new highs on old news, and when the Fed is dovish when the financial markets are at historic highs and the unemployment at historic lows – if you “feel” something does not add up, you are not being irrational but you may not (more…)
It’s All About the Monetary Policy Today! The S&P 500 futures are up with the release of Powell’s prepared testimony, and seem to be celebrating a potential confirmation that the fed would be cutting the rates in its July meeting – which was being already factored in with a 100% probability in the derivatives markets! (more…)
Jobs Numbers, Options Expiration, Thin Liquidity Today’s Jobs number is not supportive of imminent interest rate cuts. It being Friday, options expiration levels would also pull the market in various ways. And, most professionals may be taking a long weekend, leading to thin liquidity. Together, these factors could be making for a choppy market today. (more…)
