Powell in Hole, Esther on Accommodation, Yields in Inversion… Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole tomorrow is going to be watched very keenly and parsed feverishly, and can set the tone of the trading for the next week. Kansas’ Fed Esther’s comments that July rate cut was “not necessary” could be setting the tone (more…)
FOMC Meeting Minutes to Offer Help for Market Bulls? The early exuberance around retail earnings notwithstanding, FOMC meeting minutes release at 2:00pm EST is going to set the tone for the market’s mood for the rest of the week until Friday. Plummeting bond yields and the underlying recession concerns, or the skyrocketing retail earnings and the (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for TUE 08/20 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) (please click here to view (more…)
Not Done Yet! The roller coaster ride of the last few weeks does not seem to end any time soon, as neither the bulls nor the bears have any advantage here as of now. Hence, investors need to be nimbler and more agile than usual if want to trade in these markets. Or, have deep (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for MON 08/19 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) (please click here to view (more…)
It’s a Dogfight Out There! With all the volatility witnessed in the markets last couple of weeks, you can probably relate to the dogfight in the image above – that is being waged between the bulls and the bears. As we explicitly took a stand of, there seems to be no particular side exerting or (more…)
Strong Jobs Numbers or Trade War Tariffs? In a normal world, the strong jobs numbers would actually make any rate cut expectations ludicrous; but, as we all know, there is nothing normal about our world as far as “political leadership” is concerned. Hence, there can be another factor – aka “the (self inflicted) Trade War (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for WED 07/31 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
China, Fed, Earnings – the Old (real) Issues are Back in Focus this Week! With the reality of the trade war with China unfolding clearly even in the words of the administration, investors are bracing to embrace uncertainty (“we are 90% close to a trade deal” no longer works). The challenge for Fed to be (more…)
Earnings Earnings Everywhere…And a Lot of Profits to Rejoice With the busiest day of the earnings season showing off some strong earnings, investors appear to be impressed and bidding the markets up this morning. As we have been writing this week, unless some major negative headline or narrative hits the wires, expect no bearish sentiment (more…)
