Trading Plans for TUE. 5/28/24 – Slow Grind Up or Sudden Melt Down?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 5/28/24 Our trading plan published on Wed. 5/22/24, stated: “The new record high did indeed come, but the clarity of whether the move up is sustainable or not is yet to emerge”. Wednesday’s post-session blowout earnings from Nvidia briefly drove the markets into a euphoric frenzy coupled (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 5/24/24 – Nvidia Euphoria and FOMO the Market Drivers? (Day 2)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 5/24/24 Our trading plan published on Wed. 5/22/24, stated: “The new record high did indeed come, but the clarity of whether the move up is sustainable or not is yet to emerge”. Wednesday’s post-session blowout earnings from Nvidia briefly drove the markets into a euphoric frenzy coupled (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 5/23/24 – Nvidia Euphoria and FOMO the Main Themes Today

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 5/23/24 Our last trading plan, published yesterday, Wed. 5/22/24, stated: “The new record high did indeed come, but the clarity of whether the move up is sustainable or not is yet to emerge”. Yesterday’s post-session blowout earnings from Nvidia are driving the markets into a euphoric frenzy (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 5/15/24 – Hotter PPI, Colder CPI! Inflation Cooling? (Day 2)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 5/16/24 Based on the futures market action pre-market, this morning’s cooler-than-expected CPI following the hotter-than-expected PPI yesterday does not seem to be of any concern to the market’s rally. Usually when something doesn’t add up clearly, the markets reaction would be to sell first and ask questions (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 5/15/24 – Hotter PPI, Colder CPI! Inflation Cooling?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 5/15/24 Based on the futures market action pre-market, this morning’s cooler-than-expected CPI following the hotter-than-expected PPI yesterday does not seem to be of any concern to the market’s rally. Usually when something doesn’t add up clearly, the markets reaction would be to sell first and ask questions (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 5/14/24 – Hotter PPI – Economic Fundamentals Not Matter for this Rally? (Day 2)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 5/14/24 Based on the futures market action pre-market, this morning’s hotter-than-expected PPI does not seem to be of any concern to the market’s rally. With the softer-than-feared May’s NFP release on the heels of the more-dovish-than-expected Powell’s tone during the post-FOMC presser, the rate cut hopes are (more…)

Trading Plans for MON. 5/13/24 – Can this Rate-cut-hopes-fueled Rally Print Another Record High?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 5/13/24 With the softer-than-feared May’s NFP release on the heels of the more-dovish-than-expected Powell’s tone during the post-FOMC presser, the rate cut hopes are now back in full swing, and our 5116 level was convincingly broken above, flipping our models to a bullish bias post-NFP. The markets (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 5/10/24 – Rate Cut Hopes Gunning for New Record Highs

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 5/10/24 In our trading plans published on FOMC day, 5/1/24, we stated: “…Yesterday, Monday, 4/29/24, the index closed by a hair-thin margin above that level with a close at 5116.17. Keeping in mind the FOMC event tomorrow, our models are ignoring that close above our level and (more…)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 04/04

Exuberant Pumping-up to Settle Back Into Reality? With the quarter-end window dressing, and the new month beginning related artificial/seasonal boost to the markets behind us, the reality of the economy, inflation, and the interest rates soon to be driving the markets again. Whether it would be glass-half-full or glass-half-empty camp that leads remains to be (more…)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 03/30

Window Dressing Buoying The Markets? As we wrote in our trading plans on Tue., 03/28: “However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window dressing. We will get more clarity on this potential as we approach Friday”. Our (more…)