Non Farm Payrolls Disappoint – Markets Cheering(?) The lower than expected non-farm payrolls number looks to be feeding into the upside momentum in the markets – apparently with the hope that the Fed might be pressured into lowering rates aggressively. Or, it could just be a technical bounce related to the options expiration and other (more…)
Strong Jobs Numbers or Trade War Tariffs? In a normal world, the strong jobs numbers would actually make any rate cut expectations ludicrous; but, as we all know, there is nothing normal about our world as far as “political leadership” is concerned. Hence, there can be another factor – aka “the (self inflicted) Trade War (more…)
Fed Chair or the Politicians – Whose Wishes and Actions on Monetary Policy are Driven by Public Interest? With the increasing politicization of the monetary policy, investors are now burdened with another monstrous task – besides investment analyses – which is to read between the lines of the powerful people’s statements and actions about the (more…)
Jobs Numbers, Options Expiration, Thin Liquidity Today’s Jobs number is not supportive of imminent interest rate cuts. It being Friday, options expiration levels would also pull the market in various ways. And, most professionals may be taking a long weekend, leading to thin liquidity. Together, these factors could be making for a choppy market today. (more…)
